Monday, February 11, 2019

I Guess The Veteran Was Right

The Veteran recently pointed out that the Green Party was only polling around 5%. and I replied that that was just one poll.  Unfortunately for me, another poll came out tonight that also has the Greens polling around 5%, so I guess that probably does reflect their actual current level of support.

On the plus side, the headline of the report on that poll is "National plunges to worst result in over a decade," so it's not like I'm the only one receiving bad news.


Lord Egbut Nobacon said...

That is a massive hit for National even allowing for margins of error. Bridges has to go as his leadership style is more suited to the corporate world but replacing him with Collins would be like exchanging Laurel with Hardy.

Lets see....Collins v Ardern, I think I'll whip down the bookies and place an early bet, should be worth a few bob.

Snowflake said...

Oh dear. More abusiive irrational shrieking needed! Vet, Adolt, Gravetodger, to your battle-stations!

Lord Egbut Nobacon said...

Snowflake...........I'm not sure how to put this politely, but fuck off. You are rude nasty individual who has no place on this blog

Noel said...

I wouldn't be too worried Milt.Greens just shedding the swingers (32% of voters?).
NZF tough they should worry.

The Veteran said...

Hmmmm .... if that result is replicated in the next poll then things could get interesting. Mind you it's already interesting for NZF where it appears their erstwhile demographic has collectively taken the phone off the hook while, for the Greens, the new player (The Sustainable New Zealand Party) will have them all a chatter over their chardonnay.

Psycho Milt said...

I'm not too worried. If the Greens look like being at risk of slipping below the threshold, some of the more environmentally-minded Labour voters switch their support. I don't believe there's a genuine chance of them dropping out of Parliament.

As for NZF, a Labour/Green government without the provincial conservatism and influence-peddling that NZF brings to the table would suit me just fine.

Tom Hunter said...

I would not write off either Winston First or the Greens.

Winston because he's been in this situation and worse, many times before. He loves campaigns and he loves the pomp of Parliament, especially when he can wield some power to benefit his mates.

The Greens will be there after 2020. Most of their voters will never be harmed in any serious way in their lifetimes by Green policies so it's risk-free vote that brings them good feelings. If they did look like slipping under 5% I've no doubt more than a few Labour voters would switch their party vote to Green to keep them in Parliament.

I've not yet made solid plans for the NZ of 2021-2024 under a Green-Labour government as I'm too busy finishing the previous plans I'd made in expectation of the clusterfuck in their first term, but I will have to make such plans to stay ahead of the Lefty insanity that's to come. No doubt of that.

Lord Egbut Nobacon said...

Thinking of abandoning the Northern hemisphere because of the Righty insanity that is Brexit......looking forward to a bit of Lefty insanity.