Tuesday, October 31, 2017

Labour's housing policy

As I promised here, I start with the critique and follow-up focus on Labour's housing plans by stating what their policies were at the election.  It's too difficult to go through all protestations and chest-thumping exhortations by the newly-crowned minister during the campaign, so their policy is the natural starting point.

Their policy is outlined in full here.

I don't intend to give any analysis in this post on the rights or wrongs of it, my sole objective for now is just to list it.
  • Ban foreign speculators from buying existing homes. 
  • Tax property speculators who flick houses within five years - extend the bright-line test from two years.
  • Remove the ability of "speculators" (their words) to use tax losses on their rental properties to offset their tax on other income.
http://www.labour.org.nz/levelling_the_playing_field_for_first_home_buyers
http://www.labour.org.nz/cracking_down_on_speculators 
  • Build 100,000 affordable homes across the country
  • Create an Affordable Housing Authority to fast-track development in our cities
  • Growing the building workforce
  • Remove barriers that are stopping Auckland growing up and out
http://www.labour.org.nz/kiwibuild
http://www.labour.org.nz/establishing_an_affordable_housing_authority 
  • Focus Housing New Zealand on helping people, not making a profit
  • Take serious action to end homelessness
    Labour will take serious action to end homelessness in line with the recommendations of the Cross-Party Homelessness Inquiry.
  • Require all rental homes to be warm, dry, and healthy.
  • Invest in warm, dry homes.
  • Make life better for renters.
http://www.labour.org.nz/state_houses_people_over_profit
http://www.labour.org.nz/investing_in_warm_dry_homes
http://www.labour.org.nz/renters

  • Better homes for Maori.

http://www.labour.org.nz/better_homes

My next post will be to see what the coalition agreements promised, except for the secret document which hasn't been released.

Monday, October 30, 2017

GET EM ORF CAPTAIN MARK, GET EM ORF

Yesterday Whaleoil ran a story on the number of Maori MPs in the toxic coalition's caucuses.   It pictured them all together with Ron Mark wearing his medals ... just why he was wearing his medals at a photo-shoot of Maori MPs was not explained.
It was not an event you would normally associate with the wearing of medals.

Be that as it may a number of commentators took issue with his medal rack and particularly the fact that Mark should defy protocol and choose to mount the three medals he was awarded by the Omani government ahead of those awarded by the Queen.    

If you look at the picture the Omani medals comprise the silver one and the two bronze medals which are mounted ahead of the New Zealand Operational Service Medal (black and white ribbon).   

Mark is the Minister of Defence.   His thumbing of his nose at the protocol regarding the wearing of foreign awards sez much about him.

Fact ... the wearing of any foreign award is subject to permission from the Queen or, in our case, the Governor General.   Permission is rarely given.   The two exceptions are (1) for awards made by Commonwealth countries and (2) for awards made by allied forces to serving personnel.   But in all cases and without exception any and all such awards are positioned at the end of the medal rack after those awarded by the Queen.

I make no comment as to whether Mark has permission to wear the medals he was awarded while serving as a mercenary in the SSF although I would be surprised if he did.    What I can say with certainty is that Mark, in wearing them ahead of medals awarded by the Queen, is in defiance of protocol detailed very clearly on the NZDF Medals website.   Mark demeans himself and his office by his refusal to abide by service regulations.

If he was still serving one can imagine a crusty old Regimental Sergeant Major taking him aside and saying in a very loud voice ... get em orf, Captain  Mark Sir, get em orf or I'll take em orf for you.

  

ON CRIMDOTCON

Crimdotcon's appeal(s) against his deportation to the US still some some way to go though the Courts.     But the dynamic has changed following the election of the Labour/NZF/Green government.

My betting is that even if the appeal(s) fail he will not be deported.   The Immigration Minister, Iain Lees-Galloway, will decline to sign-off on the matter.


Why?  Simple.    Crimdotcon knows who and when the various emissaries from Labour, NZ First and the Greens came beating at the door of his mansion in the lead-up to the 2014 election.   It would be extremely embarrassing for the Government were this to come out.

Silence can be purchased ... at a price.


Sunday, October 29, 2017

Focusing on Twyford Land

Now that the government has changed, I have decided to do a little more blogging over the next three years.

The Executive is huge, and with that will come more spin doctors and noise.

It's too much for any critiquer to handle.  There will be stuff-ups, and I expect the country to hurt.  Winston Peters already alluded to that in his "acceptance" speech.  He knows how bad the government's policies will be for the poor and helpless, and he has forewarned us.

For me, Jacinda has done me a huge favour by making tertiary education free for the first year as my daughter is heading off there in 2019.  That will save our family about $5,000.00 for that first year - better than any tax cut could have.  But of course, that's paid for by taxi drivers in Gore and hairdressers from Wanganui - thanks!

It is impossible for any of us to capture all the dire shit that will be propelled upon us, and so I will focus almost entirely on housing, and particularly Phil Twyford's policies and promulgations.  Property, real estate, tax et al are areas I know a fair bit about, and so it makes sense for me to do that, rather than try to be a jack of all trades here.  It will probably involve Official Information Act requests and the like.  As much as I can, I will apply the blowtorch to his ill-founded proclamations.

It also makes sense because as sure as night follows day, the media won't do that job.  Particularly not with Paddy Gower, who seems to be behaving more and more, each day, like a love-struck teenager fawning over Jacinda Ardern.

So that's my plan.  Hopefully, it will leave a policy area that can be looked back upon over the years, much like Lindsay Mitchell does with welfare.  I have created a new tag for the posts - Twyford Land.

On the topic of Lindsay Mitchell, keep an eye on this - it's a valuable line in the sand.
 

Ho Ho Ho

BETTER THAN CUTTING FIREWOOD

On Tuesday I'll be in Paeroa as a guest of the Paeroa Rotary Club at a function to mark 30 years on from when we built a 'bank'.

Roll back the years to 1987.   The Douglas reforms were in full swing and the Post Office was in the process of being broken up with its banking arm morphing into Postbank.    Back then I was President of the Club.   In developing our business plan we were looking for something more innovative than the traditional 'firewood drive' in raising money for community projects.

Someone came up with the 'interesting' idea ... Postbank needs a new home ... lets be cheeky and offer to build it for them ... so, off I went to Wellington to talk to the Postbank management team.   I fully expected to be told 'on your bike' ... was a tad surprised when they said 'you build it to our specifications and we'll lease it for twenty-five years'.      I said 'deal'.   Then I went back to Paeroa and told the Club what I'd done.

We started with a 'small' problem ... we had no money and no site.   Soon fixed.   Alf Jenkinson, the sometime County Clerk of the Ohinemuri County Council and long time member of the Club agreed to loan us a significant sum interest free.   Withing days of that happening a prime site in the CBD came on the market and we were able to purchase it for cash.    The rest is history.   We had design and build expertise in the Club and for the next six months members gave up their weekends, took leave, went AWOL, whatever and we built a bank ... not without some minor mishaps like when one of our members left his toolkit apron on the ground only to see it disappear under several tons of concrete when the concrete truck delivered its load.    The work helped the Club bond together in a way that never happened before.   It was a fun time.

The completed project saw the Paeroa Rotary Club win a special award for innovative thinking and doing from the District Governor.

Postbank has long gone but the building is still there freehold and houses a Veterinary Clinic  (I think).   It generates a healthy income for the Club and, by extension, the community.    Lot easier than cutting firewood.

Gonna enjoy Tuesday night.    Thirteen of the 'originals' will be in attendance.  


2,784.......

........kilometres later, Adolf and The Cook arrived in Bunbury, Western Australia.

Once is enough, thank you very much.   Next time, I'll fly.  Having said that, I'm glad to have made the journey.   Some observations:-

Despite numerous signs warning of critters crossing the road way we saw no live kangaroos, wombats, camels, echidnas, cows or mallee fowl.

I did not know Western Australia has two time zones. (Most Australians don't know about it) Standard western time and then, Central Western Time from Caiguna to Border Village.

On two days we saw lightning strikes start massive bush fires along a 100 km front.  Somehow, the authorities got them under control before too much damage was done.

An astonishing number of brave fools were crossing the Nullabor on push bikes.

There were far less trucks and road trains than I had expected and far more caravans and camper vans.  That's what happens when you allow Labour governments to turn a thriving economy into South Pacific Venuzuela.

For the first time in my life, I saw a dead, derelict town.  Iron Knob, where, until recently, the iron ore was mined for the now defunct steel mill at Whyalla. 

Australia is in deadly serious trouble and all it's politicians want to talk about is Adam marrying Steve.




Saturday, October 28, 2017

WHERE TO NOW FOR THE RSA?

I'm a inactive member of the Russell RSA mainly because of distance.   Here in Paihia we have a very well supported and successful Ex-Serviceman's Club but it's not affiliated with the RNZR&SA.   How that came about is another story.

Last week I received an e-mail from the RSA National Office advising that the Board and the Executive were withdrawing a raft of proposed constitutional changes due to be debated at the National Council Meeting next month in the face of threatened legal action by the Auckland District RSA.   The National Council is the supreme decision making body of the RNZR&SA and comprises delegates from all RSAs.

The action by the Auckland District RSA is effectively a vote of 'no confidence' in both the Board and the Executive.   One has to wonder 'where to now' for the organisation.

The RNZR&SA is but a shell of what it was twenty/thirty years ago.    Many RSA's have closed including some large city ones.    Many others are struggling including my 'home' RSA.   The reasons are myriad and complex. 

For many years the RNZR&SA was the prime advocate to government on matters of concern to the veteran community.   That is no longer the case with the establishment of the Veteran's Advisory Board.   The RNZR&SA is not represented on that Board as of right.   Currently the President of RNZR&SA is a member of the Board but only in his private capacity.

The organisation appears to be turning on itself.   Sad that it has come to this.   I have genuine fears for its long term future.


Friday, October 27, 2017

PLEASE DON'T DEPORT HIM.



In a world where gender, parentage and displaced persons proliferate poor old Barney is a bloody New Zealander and the Straya High Court has decided he is no longer an MP.

In a seemingly somewhat convoluted set of policies the Canberra minions have decided to send   criminals who can have an alternative homeland back home.

Being  delivered from the womb of a many generation woman in a maternity wing of a Towomba Hospital where that mother was herself born,  absolutely no assistance in being a Dinkum Aussie just because the sperm doner was from, horror of horrors an offshore Island 1200 miles distant.

Slick Mal's wafer thin majority just evaporated and Barnaby will have I to try and win his New England seat again in early December having cast his dual Straya/NZ status aside.

Please don't deport him, we have our own three  ring circus with an over abundance of Clowns, animal trainers and high wire aficionados, sadly Barnaby would make anyone of them look good even though not understanding he has held dual citizenship since birth.

WORSE THAN TRAGIC



Dunedin DHB has joined the mindless ideological crusade to decline accommodation for parents and family of seriously ill children in their hospitals following the outrageous action of  Manakau DHB who operate Middlemore hospital, such charitable accommodation funded by Ronald McDonald.

What a Terrible decision based on a tenuous Link between a favourite target of social justice warriors, fast food giant McDonalds, and the charity accommodation provider.

Some of the most challenged amongst us with a child in treatment involving some very distressing side effects and possibly facing an early death of the patient and these ignoramuses want their personal  'halo' polishing group hug to remove such a valuable adjunct to service delivery of the hospital thy are charged with administering.

I readily accept that overindulgence in most fast and convenience food can exacerbate  a tendency to obesity,  a problem that certainly will not be confronting the seriously sick child of parents availing themselves of Ronald Mc Donald houses.
There is a plethora of gratitude from such family members anecdotally and no other provider in sight yet these people are so disconnected from reality that they can indulge their self absorbed attitudes in a misguided mob attack.

Obesity is a direct result of excess calorie intake allied to inadequate exercise and that is not any food provider's fault, it arises from poor decision making by individuals and parents.

Back in last century as a father of two girls year seven and nine, I was confronting a lover, wife and mother becoming paralysed from T1 down and the advice of the medics it was terminal and untreatable in Neurological ward of Dunedin hospital.
Financially challenged in a city hundreds of Kms from home, the offer of accommodation in the by then retired nurses home was a godsend.  There was no one in that fine city we knew, very dark times it must be said.
In a time of severe stress such support was  just so welcome and looking back 45 years that feeling is as raw today.  That our travail was ended with only residual nerve damage and still all alive today I have some appreciation of just what a marvellous thing Ronald McDonald homes supply to parents facing something everyone hopes won't happen to them.

Friday's Fulminations

There is mild moderation.  Normal rules of blogger etiquette and courtesy to blog hosts will apply.with serious transgressors being thrown out.

Unfortunately our system does not allow your comments to show up in the blog post itself.  Just in the comments section.

Visitors might consider the wisdom of using moderate language.

Regards

Adolf'

Thursday, October 26, 2017

SAD REALLY.




It is a fact that the Creator of the Whaleoil blog has no regard for the now Leader of Her Majesty's Loyal Opposition that is coupled with a new found relationship as regards Mr Seven Percent.

That change in attitude was and so far remains a continuing thread in a blog that has remarkable sources to the underbelly of NZ politics.

After H1 was dispatched by John Key in 2008, she without ceremony abandoned the NZLP to further her career leaving a vessel stuck on rocks with a crew devoid of any succession plan.
First  the man from the eighties was crowned and achieved nought, they then turned to a bright younger fresh face who held things in a semblance of order until colleagues with an agenda decided low to mid thirties polling needed addressing and set him up with two dead snapper to perish from exposure.
The Unions who have enjoyed unwarranted protection on the cheap within the NZLP moved to get their man in power and under a shonky system that hands up to three votes to one person chose a humourless hack who watched the party polling plunge to a level that threatened Simon English's unenviable record from the early  days of the millennium. Even with numbers ten below the snapper guy, humourless was safe so long as the unions held their nerve.
Then early in the three month window in the run up to an announced Election Day when the handbrake of Union domination was released, the NZLP parliamentary caucus acting alone forced humourless out and installed a fresh comrade who in the midst of nauseating adulation began a campaign of personality politics that Marx, Engles, Lenin etal  would have been in awe of.

Now National after holding their vote in the face of apparent third termitus, out polling Labour, out polling the marriage of convenience fell to a one man band with seven percent support who has never lasted a term of any executive in thirty years of sporadic opportunity.

I was one who found Key's patronising caucus sidelining anointing of English arrogant and questioned the wisdom of going back to 'the biggest loser'.
I was wrong English, made a very solid effort to hold National together but in the reality of a dead in the water party performance from ACT, The destruction of the apartheid party and the early withdrawal of the Dunny of  Ohariu he was left at the alter sans a bride.
IMHO English was right to refuse to deal with the demands of The Dwarf, the idiosyncrasy of  voters reluctance to award fourth terms and buying however many months of the ninth floor from the trader from St Mary's Baÿ when the prospect of a cluster fornication loomed so likely was prudent.
The show of solidarity from National is to be favourably compared to events subsequent to 2008 from Labour and stands as a portent to success in 2020.
By then Winston First will have suffered exposure to voters and it will be clear and  obvious, the Thinking Melons will have had reflection opportunity to assess how being close to the tent but kept outside again actually is in reality, hint read Lyndon Johnston.

That is how the NZ body politic deals cards.

Whaleoil has a great relevance in its sources but needs to get over it's obsession and set about what it does so well in being the widest read blog in NZ still.

YOU HAVE TO ADMIRE THE TRUE BELIEVER

Got a call this morning from a veteran who asked me if I thought NZ First's promise to raise the Veteran's pension by 10% over and above that of NZ Superannuation would be implemented before Xmas.

Had to disabuse him of that ... nice the thought but I put it in the same basket as the NZ First promise to res-erect the combat air force axed by Labour with the decision facilitated by wannabe Ron Mark when he went rogue and signed up to the Defence Beyond 2000 Report which said NZL could not afford it.

Promises made when you're in Opposition have a habit of coming back to bite.


Wednesday, October 25, 2017

ANOTHER BIT OF PROTECTION TO BE EXCISED.


Water can wear down stone....

Stone is a form of rock.

Rocks are great suport as foundations....

The  Westminster  system may not be perfect but when compared to  others is possibly a goodun....

A basic foundation block of the Westminster system comes from Confidence and Supply  which if withdrawn by a vote of the members of a Parliament getting a majority of "nays" will lead to the monarch or her representative disolving the Parliament.

One of the protections for our democracy lies in the need for an administration to maintain sufficient support of the MPs who can by voting down the government should actions warrant such a drastic move.
Even a perceived threat of such rebellion can cause such a result as one former PM Robert David Muldoon discovered when after a long consultation with a chap Tanqeray or was it Gordon called a snap election blaming a back bencher Ms Marilyn Waring.

When the news came that part of the charade masquerading as a Confidence and Supply deal for the Ardern administration included a proposed law preventing a duly elected MP sworn to be loyal to the Crown and the Country would be liable to expulsion from the Parliament if a leader deemed it so, my first mental image was of East Germans being murdered on barbed wire trying to escape their country's oppressive regime.

So Winston First Leader needs to be able to prevent any disillusioned  MP from doing what their oath of loyalty to the Crown demands in their considered belief system and chooses to vote against the party that placed them there in our rather fickle electoral system that demands unquestioning obedience to Mr Peters.
Of course there is history involved as in such a personality cult as Winston First is in reality, his scooping up of all but one of the five apartheid seats in the first MMP election later saw Henare, Tuku Morgan, Tuariki Delamere and Elamein Kopu all jumped out of Winston First to continue to keep Jenny Shipley on the ninth floor while Winny was cast adrift ending his second attempt to be Il Duce.

Our democracy is a fragile thing and this attempt to thwart the primary duty of an MP to the people is as blatant and cynical as Ms Clark's attempt to control what could be published in a previously eventually doomed bit of self preservation law making.
The only constitutional mechanism to prevent such manipulation lies in the Royal assent but that would take a Governor General with the strength of character and sense of duty in the Aus GG who ended Gough Whitlams rather brash attempt to deny reality of politics.

Of course  such a move requires the Governor General to act before the executive asks Her Majesty to recall the GG, "on advice", something  that was run  close when Sir John Kerr and Malcolm Frazer  brought Whitlam down in  circumstances still devisive in Australian politics today.

This proposal should never reach the floor of the house but politicians with their sense of self importance do not even see such manipulation as a danger.

RECORD GROWTH UNDER THE LABOUR/WINSTON FIRST/GREENS GOVERNMENT

It has been revealed that the incoming government will have 28 ministers plus three under-secretaries ...  31 in all.    It's a record for the executive.

The outgoing National led government had 27 ministers and one under-secretary.

Remind me.   Wasn't NZ First the Party that wanted to reduce the number of MPs and limit the size of the executive?

Well they certainly reduced the number of their own MPs from twelve down to nine but, in doing so, managed to negotiate an increase in the size of the executive to provide jobs for over half of them.

I'll be charitable.    A 50% win/loss ratio in a coalition of the losers can't be all bad (snort).


YOUS GETS WHAT YOUS PAYS FOR..



Only now NZ is finding there will be bonus giveaways never part of the promotions while promised policy will disappear.

Yes many understood the elevation of Labour with Mr Peters hand up their collective backs would deliver surprises but how many of those had worked out many of the emerging excitement inducing outcomes would include so many policies in direct conflict with the reality set to ensue.

A greater focus on delivery of mental health initiatives will have to confront greater damages from liberalising of modern cannabis use that it is  claimed will cause immeasurable degradation of youth mental health.

Good employment figures will collide with automation as raising wage rates sans productivity gains will make waged jobs replaced with robots more attractive.

Widening the rural urban divide will be counter productive to the aims of a billion earmarked for provincial initiatives.

Expensive light and conventional rail will impact on very small segments of people in positive ways while the diversion of money will impact many more.

A falling dollar will raise cost of living for everyone take a look at Venezuela,  the poorest will suffer most.

Those dirty unswimable rivers are largely in built up zones or polluted by urbanisation

NEVER SAY ARDERN DONT DO IRONY.



It is reported the minister to oversee the Pike River mine re-entry non other than the union roach who ticked  the box the mine was safe for his workers to be working in.

Now you can just do this 'angry',  don't forget Winston want in too.

WOT A HOOT

I see White-House insiders and sections of the US media are praising the Prime Minister (elect) for her courage in adopting President Trump's policy of restricting immigration.

Not sure Comrade Jacinda is overly amused.

Nice accolade though

Psychology Today


A psychologist wrote in 2015:

...there is a peculiar type of 'Denial' we are witnessing nowadays, whereby seemingly intelligent and sane adults vehemently deny truths despite a body of irrefutable data.
This Denial is akin to Stephen Colbert’s “Truthiness,” in that these deniers adamantly refuse to accept verified scientific facts because they get in the way of their own rigid ideas.

I was reminded of it yesterday when reading of an interview with new Leader of the Opposition, Bill English

When asked how the new government was in a weaker position, he said it was because it "had not won the vote".

The "verified scientific facts" in this case are that the government's side got 50.4% of the vote and Bill's side got 44.9% of the vote.  That's the government being in a stronger position because it "won the vote."  Bill will notice this stronger position when he returns to Parliament and finds the government has a majority in Parliament.  I hope this discovery doesn't upset him too much. 

Stuff also mentions this from the interview:

English also mentioned the unusualness of an Opposition party holding more seats than the main governing party, a situation that has not occurred since 1911.

It certainly would have been pretty fucking unusual under FPP Bill, but perhaps you didn't notice that the country shifted to proportional representation in the 1990s.  I guess maybe that's part of the denial, seeing as your party fought the election campaign as though it were an FPP one and lost because of that.  It's also a bit cheeky of you to call the current Australian government "unusual" and "in a weaker position" (Labor got the largest share of the vote over there in 2016).

Commenter "Swordfish" at the Standard has thoughtfully posted a list of election results showing just how not-unusual our new government is for a proportional electoral system - it's so relevant I'm going to paste some of it here:

Reality
(This is a long way from being an exhaustive list incidentally) 
(1) Sweden – 2006 General Election
Centre-Left Bloc
Social Democrats 35%(Largest Party)
Left Party 6% (Sixth)
Green 5% (Seventh)
Centre-Right Bloc
Moderate 26% (Second Largest Party)
Centre 8% (Third)
Liberal People’s Party 8% (Fourth)
Christian Democrats 7% (Fifth)
Moderates (Second Largest Party) form Centre-Right Coalition Govt 
(2) West German federal election, 1976
CDU/CSU (Centre Right) 48.6%
SPD (Centre Left) 42.6%
FDP (Liberal Right) 7.9%
Govt formed subsequently = SPD + FDP
(CDU/CSU = sister Parties treated as one – they don’t compete with one another The CSU only contests elections in Bavaria, while the CDU operates in the other 15 states of Germany) 
(3) West German federal election, 1980
CDU/CSU (Centre Right) 44.5%
SPD (Centre Left) 42.9%
FDP (Liberal Right) 10.6%
Govt formed subsequently = SPD + FDP 

(4) Czech legislative election, 2010
Czech Social Democrats 22% (Largest Party)
But centre-right coalition of ODS, TOP 09, and VV was subsequently formed

(5) Danish general election, 2015
Social Democrats 26% (Largest Party)
But centre-right Govt subsequently formed

(6) Danish general election, 2011
Centre Right Venstre 27% (Largest Party)
But Social Democrat’s subsequently form Left coalition

(7) Danish general election, 1990
Social Democrats 37% (Largest Party)
But centre-right Govt (Venstre 15.8% & Conservative People’s Party 16.0%) subsequently formed

He posts 30 examples altogether, but these seven should be enough to give you the idea.

Monday, October 23, 2017

The Three Headed Monster

Not even sworn in and it's screwing the country blind.

Airhead

Image result for ardern jacinda

Dickhead

Image result for grant robertson

and Boofhead

Image result for winston peters



And I'm off the air for the next five days, driving across Australia.

Sunday, October 22, 2017

GOOD NEWS, SAD NEWS, BAD NEWS

First the Good News ... it appears Winston First has agreed that we are going to get a referendum after all.

Next the Sad News ... naaaah, nothing to do with that promise about having a say on the retention of the Maori seats.

Now the Bad News ... Winston First has caved into Labour and Greens.   The referendum is to be about the decriminalisation of dope for personal (non medical) repeat personal use.


Hat Tip to our good friends at Whale Oil.


THE PEOPLES PRINCESS OFF AND RUNNING,



With a pack of poodles in pursuit

Sadly for those who  wanted her as PM and sadder for those who didn't think a government chosen by the leader of a party of seven percent support, not forgetting how many of that just above a margin of error figure didn't want another bunch of seven percenters anywhere near the treasury,  would threaten this wonderfully successful nation  being propelled along a path that has remarkable similarities to a long list of abject failures where governments ignored lessons of history  and embraced socialism.

To claim it has only failed so far due to a lack of degree of application flies in the face of history.

Among a plethora of buzz words and slogans there are warnings aplenty in the absence of any actual policy to be scrutinised and studied.
"Let's do this,
"We will form a working group"
"We must have a conversation on that"
"We will reduce suicide rates to 0%"
"We will build thousands more houses'
"We will drastically reduce child poverty"
"Those who can afford to must pay more tax"
and her latest, what can really only be described as a 'Brain Fart' with no methane emission, "Capitalism is a Blatant failure".

The twentieth  century saw a parade of nations where socialism was based on previous capitalist success only to crash onto rocks of failure when the fundamental truth overcame the now un-protected  but available wealth.
"Socialism will only last so long as other peoples money is available to fund it."

It is a fact that pure capitalism has a potential to create victims if there is no effort to include compassion and fairness in its application but there will be many more "victims" when the basic drivers of capitalism are taken out by state ownership and control.
The Russian revolution was an early lesson when collectivization replaced individualism in food production. Millions starved to death and others were executed for failing to submit to the "state directives"
Even a peasant tilling leased land quickly understands how his success and failure begin with his efforts.
The parable of the Ant and The Grasshopper should sum it all up for even the thickest and indoctrinated who ignore another great principle socialism subverts, the creative spirit inherent in all of us at birth that will ensure success until the state promotes an alternative mirage.

Anyone who spends even minimal time studying history will quickly realise there are massively fewer people in this world suffering the abject poverty that was rampant across the globe only a few decades ago.
Almost all remaining "poverty" across the globe is perpetrated and left untreated by rulers who ignore the reality of the market, rulers who coincidentally, need a cadre of the poor to sustain their often illegal usurpation of political power.
Lange's stupid claim that agriculture was a "sunset industry"in the eighties was an ultimate revelation of the disconnect that socialist's hold around food creation, processing,  distribution and consumption.
Even Crats, Ivory Tower education elites and those who would rule us, judge us, and police us need food to sustain their increasingly disconnected lives.

Micky Savage's reforms of the 1930s in NZ were a necessary temporary correction of some serious fallout from an apparent failure of Capitalism that came from boom and bust cyclic phenomena, and while personal pride and the strong desire of the human spirit to take personal responsibility for their situation remained as it appeared that State could work to redistribute national wealth. That was until another natural human response that embraced such largess emerged entirely predictably, with the current widely held belief it is someone else to blame and welfare is an entitlement, no better illustrated than in Me Tu's hypocritical and all too widely supported fraudulently failing in her side of the intended welfare trade-off by not declaring her true status.
Now that was Blatant.

That is why talk of NZ following Venezuela into economic meltdown should be taken seriously.
Venezuela has a massive share of Oil reserves on Earth and no toilet paper.

Ardern's socialistic ideals when enabled by Peters self serving personally motivated behaviours is a clear and present danger that in the total absence of a fourth estate acting as  checks and balances, can potentially flourish. The pathetic Green Party who disregarded the many enticed by a natural concern for the planet, rejected any possibility of even exploring the mandate to make MMP work for all voters, in any form of association with the clearly largest supported option of all those said  voters. That amounted to a total abdication of their intended role as a smaller party in the perfect world intended to underpin MMP

What is to now stop declaration of a mythical State of emergency, the creation of a republic, and set  the stage for suspension of our democracy. Only a Governor General who could be replaced with someone more pliant to the views of the executive acting on the advice of our prime minister to Her Majesty. Just read the record on Frazer taking out St Gough Whitlam, the timing and manipulation were critical.

Police unions are now represented in the Parliament, the Judiciary is dominated by appointments from the last Labour led administration, the military is a shadow of its former self, the MSM and the public service seem to have morphed from an apolitical stance to the belief big government will solve all alleged problems  coupled  with the new government's  pledge to change our financial structures. Structures that  however it is viewed made a widely supported response to the GFC and are now the envy of many in the wider world who might understand such matters.


Ho Ho Ho

'THRILLING BLEDISLOE CUP TEST' ... NOT

TV1 News must have been watching a different game to the one I saw to come up with that headline.

It was a limp performance by the ABs.   Too many penalties given away; too many basic errors; too much kicking.  

Many of the senior players were MIA.

One is tempted to blame it all on the change of government but that would be to overlook the simple fact that on the night the AB s were bested by a far better team.

Saturday, October 21, 2017

ON THE CHANGE OF GOVERNMENT - AN AUSTRALIAN VIEW

“This is the way the world ends. Not with a bang but a whimper,” wrote the poet TS Elliot.

So it must have seemed for the centre-right in New Zealand late on Thursday afternoon when the capricious Winston Peters snuffed out Bill English’s chance of staying in office and ended three terms of reforming government.

English will be celebrated as much for his eight years as finance minister under John Key as his 10 months as prime minister. Key and English were described more than once as the quiet achievers. The governments they led as the bore-cons introduced reforms in tax and welfare while balancing the budget without fanfare or fuss.

Seldom has the demise of a New Zealand government caused such political shockwaves on this side of the Tasman. In a period of near-universal political volatility, it raises the dispiriting possibility that simply governing well may no longer be enough.

The Key and English legacy compares starkly with Australia’s record over the same period. In 2008, when the National Party came to power, New Zealand was 24th on the World Economic Forum’s Global Competitiveness Index, six places behind Australia. Since then the positions have been ­reversed. Today New Zealand is in 13th place on the index, eight positions ahead of Australia.
Its economy has grown by an average of 3.2 per cent since 2013 measured by GDP, partly driven by population growth and rebuilding after the Christchurch earthquake. Australia has ambled along at an average of 2.3 per cent.

New Zealanders are still poorer than Australians on average but they are catching up fast. Nine years ago GDP per capita in New Zealand was 30 per cent lower than in Australia, now the gap has narrowed to 19 per cent.

The relative change in economic fortunes has changed the migration flow across the Tasman. Inward ­migration from ­Australia exceeded outward ­migration last year for the first time in a quarter of a century.

If we assume that governments have the power to control the economy — which incidentally 33 per cent of Australians no longer believe, according to the most recent Australian Electoral Study — then Key and English governed exceedingly well by ­almost any measure.  They did so through an ­approach that was often radically different to that of Australia under the Rudd and Gillard governments. While treasurer Wayne Swan was doling out cash and spending billions on poorly conceived make-work projects to help Australia survive the 2008-09 ­financial crisis, English gave personal and business tax cuts.  New Zealand went into ­recession while Australia did not. But the New Zealand economy bounced back strongly and deficits were more easily contained. Everything Swan claimed would not work in Australia worked magnificently in New Zealand, setting the country up for a decade of investment and growth.

Today the New Zealand budget is in surplus while Australia is still running deficits. Ten years ago the New Zealand government’s gross debt stood at 25 per cent of GDP while Australia’s sat on 20 per cent. Today the positions are reversed. Australia’s net public debt is at 47 per cent; New Zealand’s hit a peak of 41 per cent in 2012 and has steadily declined to 38.2 per cent.

The achievements of Key and English are by no means limited to the economy, however.
English’s most important legacy may well prove to be a revolution in thinking about govern­ment and how it can best serve its citizens. The centre-right’s scepticism about government leads it to underestimate the extent to which the economy can be improved through the business of government, English told an audience in Melbourne two years ago when he delivered the John Howard Lecture
“If you compare it to the private sector, a business needs to understand its customers because they drive its revenue. In government, we need to understand our customers because they drive our costs,” he said.   Long-term welfare recipients topped the list of the government’s most expensive customers.
“Their lives are complex and often challenging. Their inter­actions with government agencies are usually chaotic and crisis-­driven, and therefore expensive and often ineffective.”

From this thinking flowed a new approach to welfare that has since been adopted by the Abbott and Turnbull governments to great effect.   In its second of two terms the ­National government first halted the long-term trend of rising welfare dependency and then ­reversed it. The number of New Zealanders claiming sole parent benefit has fallen by a quarter as 20,000 single parents found work. Long-term welfare dependency has fallen substantially. In 2012 78,000 New Zealanders had been collecting benefits for 12 months or longer. By June this year the number had fallen to 55,000.
The reductions have been achieved by focusing attention on the groups likely to place the heaviest demands on the welfare system over their lifetimes, using both carrot and stick to entice them back into the workforce.

The idea of calculating the ­future costs of welfare — the so-called actuarial approach — was pioneered by English. The success has exceeded expectations. The New Zealand Treasury estimates that the future cost of welfare payments has been cut by $NZ12 billion since its Better Public Service targets were introduced in 2012.

English saw no tension ­between good fiscal management and good social policy.

“The ideal outcome for a government is fewer customers, not more. Fewer dysfunctional families. Fewer parents who spend decades on welfare. Fewer people who commit crimes,” he told his 2015 Melbourne audience. “Sometimes I wonder if the post-war welfare state was set up to service misery, not to reduce it.”

English’s approach was founded firmly on the principles of Australian liberalism. Governments needed to recognise that people can do more for themselves, and usually want to.

The philosophy of the left, by contrast, was “of helplessness in the face of overwhelming forces that cannot be changed”.

The result of last month’s election could hardly have been predicted when Key stepped down as prime minister last December and English was unanimously elected to succeed him. The government’s strategy of taking the public with them on reforms, ­explaining the logic well in advance in language people could follow, adjusting ­expectations and then implementing the promised changes, was remarkably successful until the end.

It was an approach formed in response to the crash-or-crash-through approach of the 1990-99 National Party government. Its reforms were extensive, at times chaotic, frequently unexpected and thirsty on political capital. The failure to build a broad constituency sowed the seeds of the government’s ­demise.  Many of its policies were reversed by the Labour government that followed.

Key and English’s incremental radicalism — reform by stealth — was touted as a new model for centre-right governments elsewhere. Some of the reforms were unpopular with the electorate, like the sale of 49 per cent of three government-owned electricity companies. Yet the inclusion of the policy in the National Party’s 2011 election platform provoked no ­obvious backlash. The secret to ­reform, English later said, was to be predictable, transparent, consistent and upfront with voters.
The same approach enabled tax reforms unimaginable in the present Australian political climate. In 2010 the government cut all income tax rates and the company tax rate, funding it by an ­increase in GST and property taxes. The changes were largely uncontroversial, judged by voters to be balanced and fair.

English, the centre-right poster boy of the English-speaking world, looked crestfallen at ­Pe­ters’s decision to form a coalition with a Labour Party that looked down and out this time last year, as well he might. He had fought an energetic campaign against his youthful opponent, using his charm and the government’s outstanding record to great effect.

For 11 years he and Key had written a counter-narrative to that prevalent in Australia that reform was all but impossible in the era of Facebook and Twitter. While Australia appeared stuck in a policy drought, New Zealand was breaking new ground, discovering new ways to measure government programs by their results and finetuning them accordingly. Feel-good policy, sentimentalism and identity politics were anathema to them.

English and Key proved that centre-right parties were not condemned to be nasty parties, ­focused on numbers rather than people, as they doggedly cleared up their predecessors’ fiscal mess. Devoid of ideology, fiercely pragmatic, self-aware and inspired, the pair stands as inspiration to the rest of the developed world in these anxious and volatile times.

Nick Cater is executive director of the Menzies Research Centre.

LABOUR LEAKING LIKE A SIEVE ... ALREADY

Word is that the Hon Ruth Dyson, 'pissed' off at her failure to be appointed to Cabinet, fronted her Comrade leader and demanded and got the Deputy Speaker nomination.

Hmmmmm ... a person with a conviction for fighting in a public place and self confessed ticket scalper as Speaker and a convicted drunk as Deputy Speaker.

So much raw talent in the Labour/NZF/Greens Government.

Friday, October 20, 2017

Not a bad prediction

I wrote this on September 25.  My "checks" are in Red.

The country will be shocked when Winston abandons implicit protocol and forms a government with Labour.

He'll do that ostensibly for these reasons I think, none of which is to do with policy as Winston couldn't give a flying monkeys about policy.

  1. Jacinda Ardern and Grant Robertson et al are *so* desperate for power they'll fold much more easily than English/Joyce et al.  Mallard will ensure it so as to become speaker.  Check.
  2. Winston knows he will be able to walk all over Jacinda and Robertson and run rings around them in government - he's too crafty for them.  But this absolutely won't apply for English and his team.  Check.
  3. Winston's policy platform is very left and interventionist and matches nicely with Labour's.  Check.
  4. National has baggage after 9 years, even if their result on Saturday was astounding.  For example, if there is possibly stuff to come on Oravida's involvement with the damaged pipeline; and Jian Yang's problems with his "false" declarations (mind you, Raymond Huo doesn't look squeaky clean either), that will hurt the government and Winston won't want to be tainted by that.  On the other had, Labour comes with essentially "clean" hands.  Missed that one perhaps.
  5. Winston and the Nats don't see eye-to-eye.  They beat him in Tauranga; they've now just beaten him in Northland; they teamed up with Rodney Hide to kick him into touch in 2008.  Labour, on the other hand, has no such issues.  Check (I think).  
Forget what you read in the papers from Shaw and others, like Shaw won't accept second best etc etc.  The Greens will be in government, and have a couple of ministers outside cabinet (so Winston doesn't need to involve them) and he'll give them some candy like healthy homes and some other mush to keep them pleased.  Double-check.

The players in this will be Mallard, Annette King and Helen Clark.  Clark knows Winston better than others and will be in Jacinda's ear daily.  Unsure, but likely a check.

National should get ready for opposition.  Check.

QUESTION OF THE DAY

In recognition of Cam Slater's year long 'poodle faking' in support of Winston First and his repeated attacks on PM English and a number of other National Party ministers should not Whale Oil be better placed in 'Blog Roll Left' alongside 'No Right Turn' and 'The Daily Blog' el al.

Just askin?

Friday's Fulminations

There is mild moderation.  Normal rules of blogger etiquette and courtesy to blog hosts will apply.with serious transgressors being thrown out.

Unfortunately our system does not allow your comments to show up in the blog post itself.  Just in the comments section.

Visitors might consider the wisdom of using moderate language.

Regards

Adolf'

Thursday, October 19, 2017

THE FIRST WINSTON FIRST LIE

Taken from the NZ First website ... "Māori don’t need the Māori seats. They don’t need tokenism. That is why we commit to a referendum of all electors to retain or abolish the Māori seats".

Lie, lie lie.   When push came to the shove Winston walked away from his commitment.   It meant nothing ... except votes from those
who dared to believe.

How many ways to spell lie?

Things To Watch

Over the next six months:-

Unemployment

Mortgage rates

Exchange rates

Business investment





Six to twelve months

House prices

Net immigration

Mortgagee sales

Business closures

Beneficiary numbers

GDP growth (or non growth)


This is an excellent time to be in opposition.  Even Milt recognises a Pyrrhic victory when he sees one.




Some victories are sweeter than others...


...because there are some victories that put you in mind of Ian Gillan singing "I will drink your cup of poison."

Here's hoping this particular victory doesn't turn out to be a Pyrrhic one.  Still, for tonight at least,  fuck yes!  In your face, oligarchy of corrupt incompetents!  The next three years at least we get to do without a government of the people, by the rich, for the rich.  Chuffed.

WINSTONE (VIDKUN) PETERS ... COMRADE JACINDA'S POODLE

Let the push-back commence. 

Peters and the Greens ... would be funny if it wasn't so laughable.

Now The Sparks Will Fly

Peters has given the nod to Labour.  The incompetent led by the insufferable.

At least they an claim to have fixed housing affordability   Just watch as house prices in Auckland decline by 20%.  The dumb buggers who voted for Labour and Greens just cost them selves $100k per head.  Wait for the screams as the banks foreclose on all the inner city luvvies who find themselves in negative equity territory.

The currency already tanked well before the announcement and the rest of the economy will follow as private industry stops investing and employing.

Blenglish and everybody else will be quietly pleased as they prepare to aggressively destroy Peters and Adern from the opposition benches.

I Just Burst Out Laughing (Updated)

The headline:-

'Seriously difficult': Peters still hasn't decided who to go with'



Peters is giving NZ a preview of how dysfunctional any government in which his has a part will be.

I'm with the Vet on this one.

Blenglish should wash his hands of this fool and let Labour blunder on with him.

Update:-

Party officials, who did not want to be named on account of their not being authorised to speak, have disclosed that, miraculously, Mr Peters has two identical agreements from Labour and National.

The only problem is, National is offering unlimited supplies of Chivas Regal while Labour is offering unlimited supplies of JW Black Label

Mr Peters does not know what to do.

NEWSFLASH ... WINSTON TO FORM GOVERNMENT 'ALONE'

Impeccable sources have revealed to No Minister that this afternoon Winston First will announce he is going it alone to form a government and that he is seeking confidence and supply from both National and Labour sitting on the cross-benches.

NZF have decided the policy concessions offered by both National and Labour are to be bundled together and treated as one.   Their assessment is that this will be hugely popular in voter land and neither National or Labour (as granting those concessions) would have a moral mandate to oppose them.

A bonus for New Zealand is that there would be no outer cabinet and that the inner cabinet would be reduced to just 9.  

The Greens will become the official Opposition.   This will be their chance to show what they are capable of.

In a gesture of magnanimity and to show there are no hard feelings (and to stop him talking to himself) it is intended to nominate David Seymour as Speaker.

  

Wednesday, October 18, 2017

NOW THAT IS INCONVENIENT!



Certainly for Alphonse Gore perhaps.

During recent absences from interwebby connectivity with radio for info there was much ado  a few days ago about "a disaster currently unfolding for breeding pairs of Adele Penguins around Cape Bird in Antarctica possibly failing to rear any young this breeding season.

Abnormal sea ice making parents trips to gather Krill to feed their young too far and chicks dieing in their thousands from starvation.

Don,t many species of Whales have Krill as a staple so preventing killing whales for food might cause a reduction in total Krill supplies through species pressure?
Isn't sea ice supposed to be threatened so how come such a problem exists as we warm up?
Shouldn't there be a concentrated effort by Project Jonah type warriors to sort out the problem?
Perhaps the pathetic efforts to connect global warming and climate change with A.G.W. and consumption of carbon based fossil fuels  becoming kind of unravelled could be evidence of settled science being a somewhat mythical concept.

Could palm kernal supplements be a go?
What else could be used for supplementary food supplies?
Grass supplies seem extremely abundant this spring, says my lawn anyway.

That news had a  "and they all lived happy everafter" missing as regards this year's Adele Penguins harsh lifestyle.

Headline of the Week

In a piece on sexual harassment allegations against Weinstien's harve brother Bob.

"The Family That Preys Together...."

Tuesday, October 17, 2017

C'MON BILL, PULL THE PLUG

Fact ... being in parliament is all about being in government.   There is very little satisfaction in sitting on the opposition benches.   You might get the occasional victory when a government minister or MP stuffs up but much of your time is spent railing against decisions already made and which you can't change.

That's the conventional wisdom anyway.    Not so this time round.   Whoever Winston and his ratbag bunch of losers chose will themselves end up as losers.

So Bill, my advice to you is to pull the plug.   Let 'them' go with Labour and the Greens and watch the train-wreck develop.   Use the time to regenerate and refresh ... and yes, that probably means you will have to call 'time up' on yourself ... but you have been there and done that.   Your legacy is secure as an outstanding Minister of Finance who saw us through the GFC and the decade of deficits bequeathed to you by Labour.  

In opposition National will exercise substantial power through their shear weight of numbers in the House.   They will be the majority Party on all Select Committees.    They will have the ability to frustrate the government's legislative agenda should they choose to do so and at the same time be in a position to exploit the inherent contradictions in a coalition of where NZF and the Greens have about as much in common as Sunni and Shia Muslims do.

3 years (or shorter) pain for long term gain.   Pull the plug on the farce Bill, pull the plug.


Monday, October 16, 2017

The Farce Continues

The Herald reports 'talks continue.'

I'm sticking to my prediction that Peters will come to an arrangement with the National Party.

Peters knows that if he goes with Labour, they will tank the economy (and he doesn't know how to stop them) and a strong and aggressive opposition will pin the blame where it belongs.  On his venal shoulders.  That will see the end of Peters and the Winston First cult at the next election.  The one thing the Labour line up is good at is plotting and conniving and they'll direct all their talent into plotting against him.

He'll wind up with zero credibility and no legacy.

If he goes with National he will get his Maori seat referendum which will restore some credibility and he will have that momentous achievement as a lasting and positive legacy.

The only question remaining is, how long can he spin out his pathetic charade?