Tuesday, September 12, 2017

NZers Are Waking Up

Tonight's TV3 Reid poll indicates that the worm may be on the turn.

Could it be that Kiwis are waking up to the fact that their standard of living is seriously threatened by the Marxist policies of the horse with teeth?

  • National 47.3% (+4.0%)
  • Labour 37.8% (-1.6%)
  • Green 4.9% (-1.2%)
  • NZ First 6.0% (-0.6%)
  • Maori 1.1% (+0.1%)
  • ACT 0.5% (-0.1%)
  • Opportunities 1.6% (-0.3%)
Projected Seats
  • National 61
  • Labour 49
  • Green 0
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • NZ First 8
  • Total 121

10 comments:

Anonymous said...

In the words of Jim Bulger.

"Bugger the polls".
Fred2

Noel said...

Or the often heard from trough feeders "the only poll that matters is the one on the day".

Anonymous said...

This Poll seems to depict the mood of the country outside the media at least. Labour are simply unlikeable, vapid and irresponsible. Cadwallader

Adolf Fiinkensein said...

I see the demise of Ardern is being reported in the Ocker media.

Psycho Milt said...

As Keith Ng put it:

If the polls are wrong and off by ~10%, then we basically know nothing.

If the polls are right and sentiments changed by ~10%, then basically nothing is knowable.

Or in other words, and as usual, a single poll tells us not very much.

Adolf Fiinkensein said...

Or in more other words, this single poll tells us the trend is broken.

And that IS very much.

Psycho Milt said...

Actually, cancel that. Clearly, this poll shows that National is once again romping to victory, the oiks have once again been trashed and there's little reason for Nat voters to stir themselves to attend a polling booth anytime soon. No Minister's National-supporting readership are hereby encouraged to rest confident in their party's victory and take it easy the next couple of weeks.

Psycho Milt said...

Or in more other words, this single poll tells us the trend is broken.

There's a possibility it's telling us that, sure. But in most cases, if a poll shows a dramatic shift in support there's either a dramatic reason (eg, Ardern replaces Little), or the poll's got a problem. I haven't seen anything as dramatic as Ardern-replaces-Little happening in the last week.

Adolf Fiinkensein said...

Milt, that's probably because you don't know how to recognise middle NZ waking up.

Judge Holden said...
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