Wednesday, January 3, 2018

EVERYONE AND HIS DOG

appears to be indulging in the making of predictions for 2018.   For what it's worth (and it may be nothing at all) here's mine ... limited to New Zealand.

#1     Me Tu will make a return to Parliament as Chief of Staff for the Green Party.

#2     Mr 'Medals' Mark will be shafted as Deputy Leader of Winston First.

#3      National will have a new leader and deputy leader one of whom will be Judith Collins.

#4      Labour's manifesto promise to build "stand-alone high quality homes" in Auckland for between $500,000 and $600,000 will turn out to be a lie (unless they're located on land immediately adjacent to the Mangere Sewage Ponds).

#5     The Justice Minister will refuse to sign-off on the deportation of Crimdotcon ... reason, the 'Gentleman' knows where the skeletons are buried ... who and when luminaries from Labour, NZ First and the Greens came knocking on his door seeking dosh in the lead up to the 2014 election.

#6     Chris Finlayson will announce he is leaving Parliament within the next six months.   He will not be replaced by the next person on National's List (Maureen Pugh).

#7     A new centrist environmental Party will emerge.   There will be intense discussion within National about the desirability of  fascilitating their entry into parliament.

#8     There will be more strikes in 2018 than occurred in the whole period of the previous government.

#9     The billion trees promise will become a millstone around the neck of the Jones boy.

#10   Jimmy Jacks Rib Shack in Paihia will continue to serve up the best ribs in New Zealand.


14 comments:

Whaleoil said...

You've already failed on Number 5. It is the responsibility of the Justice Minister to consider deportation orders, not the Immigration Minister.

Eugene Chignon de Croix Chaude said...

Fuck off fatboy, your whole life has been a failure. Stay in your little echo chamber, counting your cash for comment from Mossad.

The Veteran said...

Cam ... thank you. I stand corrected (gives himself a swift uppercut). Thrust of comment stands.

Duncan Brown said...

Seriously hope that you're wrong on number eight, but I'm not holding my breath. Employment relations has been far too much the political football for too many decades, and the Labour Party's manifesto gives me little hope that good sense will prevail.

Anonymous said...

No. 7 is a given considering the Trump admin has fallen out with almost every country in the world including France, England, Scotland, Germany almost all of the Mid East and Russia. The only country that lacks the self confidence to oppose his policies is Australia.

Lord Egbut

The Veteran said...

Egbut ... you're right with your 12.52. Not really.a prediction ... more like shooting ducks in a barrel so I've substituted a new #7.

Psycho Milt said...

#5. I expect that will happen, but the abuse of process alone is enough to justify it. Whatever other fanciful reasons people might conjure up out of nothing aren't really predictions that can be tested.

#7. Can't see it unless National quietly sets one up as another sock puppet.

#8. I certainly hope so. Those nine years of movement towards a low-wage economy maintained by cheap migrant labour and shit working conditions need to be rolled back, and the sooner it starts the better.

The Veteran said...

Milt ... re #7 ... you mean like the Greens are sock puppets of Labour albeit with bigger gonads and less sense?

Noel said...

Be interesting to see if your NO 8 happens.
I just don't see a return to the 1970's level as your and many are predicting.
One should remember industrial relations require three impacts. The Law, the employers and the employees. Whist many on the right are quick to label unions as the same as those across the ditch. in fact in the last decades here they have been more restrained and responsible in their actions.

The Veteran said...

Noel ... only because National curbed the power of the Unions. Times are a changing and Labour, beholden to the Unions (as you would expect) is determined to give power back to the Unions. Suggest you read their Workplace Relations policy which is a throwback to the 70s and includes such 'gems' as "removing the ability for employers to deduct pay from workers taking low level protest action during an industrial dispute'.

And lets not even discuss the removal of the 90 day trial period. That's a recipe for increasing unemployment. Watch this space.

Gerald said...

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=11939465

Noel said...

https://thespinoff.co.nz/politics/22-09-2017/will-labours-fair-pay-policy-really-bring-new-zealand-to-a-standstill/

pdm said...

Vet you are well under way with 8. There have been transport strikes in Auckland and Wellington in recent weeks - outside the period but good indicators - and Silver Fern Farms, Takapau are on strike from today.

Anonymous said...

http://www.mbie.govt.nz/publications-research/research/employment-relations/work-stoppages-2014-report.pd