Thursday, October 19, 2017

Things To Watch

Over the next six months:-


Mortgage rates

Exchange rates

Business investment

Six to twelve months

House prices

Net immigration

Mortgagee sales

Business closures

Beneficiary numbers

GDP growth (or non growth)

This is an excellent time to be in opposition.  Even Milt recognises a Pyrrhic victory when he sees one.


Anonymous said...

Be careful Adolf you have been wrong many times.

Snowflake said...

He’s always wrong. You can make a fortune from shorting his predictions. The Romney presidency was the most enduring and hilarious, however. It even shut him up for a week.

pdm said...

Adolf - you missed inflation.

Adolf Fiinkensein said...


To which particular predictions do you refer? Come back in twelve months time and see how you got. The tanking has already started.

Psycho Milt said...

Even Milt recognises a Pyrrhic victory when he sees one.

To be fair, a Nat/NZF govt would have been an even more Pyrrhic victory, as the crash-and-burn would have been writ large from the start. At least with this one there's a question mark over it.

Snowflake said...

You’re wrong on every single prediction you’ve ever made. You predicted McCain would be President. You predicted Romney would be President. You predicted Nancy Pelosi would lose her seat. You were to afraid to predict a Trump victory, so even got that one wrong. Go and check.


I see the NZD has dropped already. No doubt with further declines to come.
Coupled with a collapse in the housing market, when I return to NZ in the near future, I might well get my Waikato lifestyle block after all.
It had been looking that a wooden shack in Taumaranui or Te Kuiti might be the best I could hope for come the 2020s had National retained power.
Trouble is, Arden and Peters might stuff it up so much, there might be no jobs for me by then.

Snowflake said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
Adolf Fiinkensein said...

That's the second comment I have removed this morning because the commenter named a person who uses a nom de plume.

People, please use your brains.

Adolf Fiinkensein said...

Poor Cameron Slater is banging on denigrating Bill English over at Whaleoil. It is sad when personal vendettas get in the way of common sense.

Far from being a loser, I consider Bill English to be the biggest winner out of this whole sorry affair. It looks to me as though he told Peters at the last minute to 'fuck off,' so to speak. Absolutely brilliant long term politics.

The dead set giveaway was Peters' Obama-like obsequious speech in which he predicted the economy would crash because of National when the only factor adversely affecting the economy appears to be his elevation of Labour to a role for which it is ill=equipped.

More popcorn, please!

Anonymous said...

Adolf: I agree! Enough said. Cadwallader