Thursday, July 20, 2017

OCCAM'S RAZOR



Of course to intellectual giants, such simple reasoning is an unwanted mosquito to their self belief that they are the  sole participants quallified to debate, in particular when they are in their superior 'we know best mode'.

So instead of actually setting out an alternative point of debate from their elevated position they all too often plunge into denigration of any notions a simpleton from the peasantry might dare to offer, accompanied by  ad hominem attacks

I am not alone when I assail the moronic energy policies of Jay Weatherall's  South Australia Labor State Government.
In a headlong rush to be first to the new dawn of a low carbon economy they have embarked on a renewable energy policy that will see them only lead in a race to unsustainable pricing of basic electricity costs for industry commerce and domestic, accompanied by supply security issues.
In a State with only Uranium as a natural adequate resource for supplementing wind and solar electricity supply and an astounding refusal to even consider modern nuclear generation options, Mr Weatherall in a remarkably similar belief system to Cnut, has dived into a renewable based supply system that is underpinned by Solar and Wind with a similar outcome to that which the King achieved when it was  the simpering flattery of his court he was targeting with his move eight hundred years ago.
Such stupidity around electric generation is doomed  to fail as even peasants understand the sun is absent for almost half the 24 hour cycle plus the unfortunate additional suppressing effect of cloud cover while demand for electricity is constant
All the while ignoring the rising costs of wind towers with life terms around twenty years and replacement better economics than refurbishment. The ruling elites forget that without massive subsidies the windmills would never have reared up for Cervantes to tilt at and  are now facing serious replacement costs sans subsidy, suddenly it is problematic.

With South Australia having both warming and cooling needs for residential electricity and a dependence on land line backup from neighboring Victoria, who have joined the rush to renewables and set out to decommission in the near future, the Hazelwood plant ( producing 25% of Victoria's base load generation), such reliance exposed to Sods Laws can only come at greater risk of catastrophic failure.
Building "new" coal fired plant is never going to happen under the new age environmental billabong that has embraced all Australian ruling elites.

It is a total mystery how a nation with truly enormous reserves of "clean coal" in an era of tremendous advances in burning such carbon resources environmentally soundly to create electricity, has turned its back on coal fired generation systems. Meanwhile European nations with Germany in the Van are replacing Nuclear with coal fired generation.
All to achieve what, well world carbon emissions will be reduced by a degree that is laughable if it could be done and in Australia's case downright impossible. Hell I do not know if the CO2 output of a naturally occurring Bush Fire is calculated but it is no surprise that per capita Australia is alleged to emit the highest rate of  CO2 in world terms.
There is a tiny wee elephant in rooms where such stupidity is promoted, apparently there is no problem in shipping coal, clean, dirty and any in between, to Asia where, surprisingly, they will burn it!
China and India are building Coal fired generation structures at around two a week, meanwhile the States of Eastern Straya have hurdles in place to thwart LPG fuel for electricity generation, a  base fuel  even better than coal with reserves that are almost beyond comprehension
Meanwhile electricity security is at risk and price increases are no longer threatened they are a fact of life hanging over all energy users.

Assuming it were possible and it aint, suppose Straya ceased emitting CO2 completely, remind me again what is the effect on global emissions of the very necessary for plant growth, CO2. It is well below a margin of error, that is what
.
 Meanwhile on another planet, Billionaire failed POTUS hopeful, Alphonse Gore is presently in The Lucky Country complete with all the carbon emitting accoutrements he can muster, promoting his latest scribblings on the irrefutable, in his enfeebled mind, that although the earth is in a two decade pause of global temperature rise that is almost certain to be directly influenced by solar activity the very same energy that photoelectric cells convert to usable current in solar panels, Big Al needs more dosh from the fraudulent scam.
Apparently one billion is not enough as he embarks on milking another Billion while ignoring the obscene waste his mansions , international jet setting and total hypocrisy around carbon use in his pursuit of untold riches, continues.


6 comments:

David said...

It would quite helpful if you allowed Occam's razor to prune your writing to something approaching comprehensibility. But even that would not rescue your witterings from meandering so far away from the truth as to resemble a Donald Trump tweet.

In a State with only Uranium as a natural adequate resource for supplementing wind and solar electricity supply .... Perhaps you are unaware of the coal fired power stations that have existed in SA. And maybe you've never heard of Moomba and the gas fired generators at Torrens Island and elsewhere. Here is a helpful list for you.

AGL have also announced plans to build a new gas fired generator just north of Adelaide.

from neighboring Victoria, who have joined the rush to renewables and set out to decommission in the near future, the Hazelwood plant.... This is a decision that has nothing to do with government, it was made by the owners of Hazlewood, Engie (formerly GDF Suez), with a 72% share and Mitsui & Co. with a 28% share. As with most privatisations, they bought it, sucked as much as they could from it and then closed it rather than spending money on maintenance.

Stick to writing about the things you know - zimmer frame reviews, overcrowding in Akaroa 4 Square, and why is Sherry so expensive.

paul scott said...


>>""So instead of actually setting out an alternative point of debate from their elevated position they all too often plunge into denigration of any notions a simpleton from the peasantry might dare to offer, accompanied by ad hominem attacks."<<
I would have abusive people like David off the welcome list, he's possibly nastier than that egg thing and he belongs somewhere over at Pundit or the Daily Bog with Bradbury

• If Australia emits 1.5 per cent of global annual CO2 emissions, 3 per cent of the total annual global emissions are anthropogenic and the atmosphere contains 400 parts per million by volume of CO2, then one molecule in 6.6 million molecules in the atmosphere is CO2 emitted from humans in Australia.
This is a total Australian man made CO2 [ good for your garden, agriculture and forests] of about 5 parts per ten thousand.
This molecule has an atmospheric life of about 7 years before it is removed from the atmosphere by natural sequestration into life and limey sediments.

Australia i.sn't really helping the introduction of the life giving CO2 at nearly the rate it could be

David said...

Rather than launching an ad hom attack on me, Paul Scott, you would be better served by being honest and attributing your quotes to their source.

Ian Plimer is not a credible source. His writings have been debunked over and over by the elites in their field. Plimer is an expert in the "Gish Gallop", and as a director of numerous mining companies he has a very distinctive barrow to push and lies to peddle.

gravedodger said...

Correction David, Paul's opinions are just as valid as yours even if you introduce some trougher who has accessed the seemingly endless money available to those who worship at the AGW shrines!

Ian Pilmer is your support person and his evaluation of data is just as likely to be tainted as you claim Paul Scot's to be.

If you wish to continue to be published here you might like to contact Jobson as he seems to have avoided the delete button by either not commenting or moderating his previously venomous unwelcome utterings. It is not hard but patience only lasts so long.
I am the owner of my posts and your opinions don't rank either as criticisms or a desire to change me. You see I have access to the delete button and you don't and it doesn't end there as I am arrogant opinionated and enjoy the support of several persons known to me who encourage me to continue to Sinatra it.
With all that lucky coal and gas why is your hero so determined to risk lives, industry and commercial activity so he can become as discredited as Gore is amongst many with a knowledge of reality and choose to not follow the headline rush to the bottom.

David said...

Correction Dodger - Paul may have opinions, but opinions are not facts. I did not challenge either Paul your yourself on opinions, but on the facts.

Ian Pilmer is your support person and his evaluation of data is just as likely to be tainted as you claim Paul Scot's to be.

Oh do try to keep up. Plimer is a stooge for the mining companies. It is his words that Paul Scott quoted at the beginning of his post, words that he did not attribute to Plimer, so I pointed out his omission.

Now, delete away, because you have shown yourself to be incapable of understanding counter points, you bathe nightly in the arrogance of your ignorance.

Anonymous said...

Why is fact retention so difficult for Dodger. He has been told before that the "clean burning" bituminous coal is mainly in Queensland. The stuff in SA and VIC is mainly low grade and sometimes difficult and expensive to mine.

Factor in transport costs and all becomes clear. Why not nuclear? To build a nuclear plant you need outside partners (foreign companies) with the skill and experience in these matters who will then hold the majority shareholding, you getting the picture?

The new Hinckley Point Nuke power station being built in the UK is being built by a French company (EDF) and China, the cost overuns are now eight times more than the original price but each time the UK govt, protests some one threatens to walk away.

This what happens when you ignore your infrastructure for years and keep cutting taxes to be elected. You lose your expertise and when you suddenly need power you are over a barrel to foreign companies and soon to be foreign companies.

Lord Egbut