Wednesday, April 12, 2017

150,000? (Updated)

It is variously reported that China has moved 150,000 troops up to the North Koren border to 'assist with the flood of refugees expected in the event of a US attack on North Korea.'

Image result for chinese troops on north korean border

Interestingly, these reports are restricted to what one might call the tabloid media and I must admit I have my doubts. ( Update:-  These reports have been denied by China.)

If my memory serves me, 150,000 troops is more that the US had deployed in Iraq at the time of the surge.  It's only a few days since the US strike on Syria so I'm wondering how easy it is to move 150,000 troops, along with all their baggage, in a matter of two or three days.

At the same time, it is reported China has rejected coal from North Korea and, instead, purchased the commodity from the US.

I can't help thinking that if, in fact, China has moved such a large military force to its NK border, the little fat Nork should be more worried by the prospect of a Chinese invasion than that of an American air attack.  Such would make far more sense than the 'refugee' excuse.

After all, how would the refugees get across the border?  They can't now, to flee starvation.


The Veteran said...

This ritualistic posturing has been going on for decades now ... so far (and with some minor exceptions) that's all its been ... but as long as it lasts there is the possibility that somebody, somewhere, will make a mistake (and if I were to hazard a guess it would be some low level commander) and that could always escalate.

On the plus side is the changing attitude of China. They appear prepared to exercise power diplomacy in order to keep a lid on things. The last thing China needs is 25 million or so refugees pouring across the border from a devastated North Korea.

Adolf Fiinkensein said...

There is a big difference between today's ritualistic posturing and that of yesteryears when they could conveniently be ignored.

Today, the Norks are threatening to nuke the USA.

Anonymous said...

I wonder whether it could be plan B for Kim Chong Wa to invite Chinese troops into NK as 'advisors' as a means of preventing a US strike.

That way if the US strikes they risk going to war against China if they kill Chinese troops.


Adolf Fiinkensein said...

A good sign. President Xi has been on the phone with President Trump to discus defanging the little fat Nork.

The Veteran said...

Jimmie ... Chinese world interests far outweigh any residual commitment they have to maintaining the despotic DKR regime.