Who remembers that wonderful Peter Sellers comedy?
From Wiki, the plot:-
The minuscule European duchy of Grand Fenwick is bankrupted when an American company comes up with a cheaper imitation of Fenwick's sole export, its fabled Pinot Grand Fenwick wine. Crafty prime minister Count Mountjoy (Peter Sellers) devises a plan. Grand Fenwick will declare war on the United States,
Fast forward from 1959 to 2016 and NZ’s very own pint sized comedian, Murray McCully, declares war on the incoming US administration by sponsoring a UN resolution to help the Islamic enemies of Israel crush the only democracy in the Middle East.
Perhaps I don’t read the right reports but I’m yet to see any careful and dispassionate analysis of the potential short, medium and long term effects of this extraordinary episode on the fortunes of New Zealand. I doubt they will be positive.
I have some questions.
1 Did the cabinet approve the sponsorship of the resolution? Was the PM kept informed the whole way through?
2 Was this resolution, and NZ’s pivotal part in it, a factor influencing PM John Key to resign?
3 How is it in NZ’s interests to sponsor a resolution organized by the lame duck Israel hating Obama administration in its dying days?
4 What effect will this episode have on NZ’s relationship with the incoming Trump administration? (Cast your mind back to the time when a surly and bitter NZ PM publicly opined that the loser would have been a better president than Dubbya. Said loser went on to become the world’s most infamous shyster and bullshit artist.)
5 What effect will it have on NZ's relationship with Israel.? Will Israel stop sharing intelligence with NZ?
6 Will there be adverse electoral consequences for National or is this just another beltway issue?
(This morning, Whaleoil carries a piece by one MohamedHassan from Radio NZ in which one is informed trade with Israel is around $100m while trade with major Arab states is 4.8b.) That’s not a bad starting point.
Surely there must be some retired diplomat/MFAT staffer who has the intellectual grunt to produce a decent column on the subject. Clearly, there are no journalists who are capable.
By the way, for what they are worth, my answers to the above questions are:-
1 I don't know.
2 I don't know but I wouldn't be surprised if it did.
3 It isn't.
5 Severely adverse.
6 I think National will suffer a significant loss of votes. Let's see what the next polls have to say.