and so it should be with another 'rogue' poll showing Labour down 3.5% to just 23% which would give them just 28 seats in a House of 120 with the Little fella on the cusp of not making it back into Parliament. This is unprecedented. The reality is however there will be no BBQ driven Coup d'etat. It's too late for Labour to contemplate changing leaders. They're stuck with Little ... their bed, lie on it.
Paul Scott will be devastated too that his poster boy's Party has dropped 2% down to 8%. It has a very big hill to climb to reach his predicted 15-17%. Memo for Paul. It doesn't help your cause to argue in the name of your Party that Obama & Clinton should be shot without trial and hung upside down in Washington Square.
The winner (apart from National up 1.5% to 49.5%) is the Greens up 3% to 14.5%. Seems they're reaping the benefit of the MoU and harvesting off the soft Labour vote. Long may that continue in spades. Simply fascinating that Labour appears likely to throw sitting MP Rino Tirikatene to the wolves in Te Tai Tonga and stand aside in Nelson giving the Greens a clear run at both seats in return for stitch up deals in Ohariu and elsewhere.
An interesting side bar to all of this is the rapprochement between the Maori Party and Mana where it appears they will not be standing candidates against each other. Whether Hone can defeat Kelvin Davis is a moot but you certainly have to think the Maori Party will fancy their chances in both Hauraki-Waikato, where the sitting MP is retiring and where the Maori King has gone feral against Labour, and Te Tai Hauauru where the sitting MP is best described as a drone. Whatever, should Hone win the seat he will side with Labour and the Greens while the Maori Party will hope to be in a position where they can do deals.
As for the rest ... nothing to say. Pretty difficult to achieve traction when 65% (up 9%) think the country is headed in the right direction while only 24% (down 5%) say we're doomed.