Thursday, July 14, 2016

TELL 'IM HE'S DREAMIN'

The immortal words of Daniel Kerrigan, patriarch in "The Castle" as a reply to the latest offer  to buy his house to make way for a development.

Andrew Little still leader of the largest opposition party, god only knows why, has in conjunction with another giant of intellectual genius, Phil Twyford, launched a 'comprehensive'   brainfart  in response to a purported housing crisis.

A part of the supporting rhetoric has some reminiscing on the "successful" launch of the first Labour Government's "State Housing Policy" following the 1935 general election that saw Michael Joseph Savage lead a landslide to the treasury benches in the depths of the "Great Depression".

The first "state house" arrived to much publicity in 1937 almost two years after the election victory.
In times with thousands of labourers and artisans unemployed, an almost inexhaustible supply of  native timber for framing and cladding, concrete for foundations and roofing, and land in abundance, that first experiment with a socialist directed economy managed to build that first house in 22 months and Fletcher Building was launched
Now today with the NZ economy running at pretty much full capacity, the Moron Party and their media enablers are promoting an impossible dream of 10 000 additional houses per annum for ten years.
No unemployed just waiting with saw and hammer, a very tight supply chain for product to build with, a decimated timber milling industry and cutting wood that needs some form of treatment before use, a commercial construction industry at high levels of activity, where oh where you freakin numpties will you suddenly mobilise the sort of drive that got Savage his first Government created affordable home in just under two years.
Then there is the total confusion in the policies of Labour and its potential support parties around immigration constraints that might make a minor dent in the manpower shortages for your fairy tale outcome.

Oh media oh media where for art thou media, apologies  Bill Shakespeare.

2 comments:

paul scott said...

Immigration
I agree that NZF has not shown much detail on Immigration policy.
This is Immigration, separate to investment and off shore purchase of land here.
There will be vigorous Visa application assessments, and by that it means, interviews.
There are no fairy tale expectations, unless you consider that a no entry of extreme
interests which are destructive of our society, as fairy tale.

I am writing again to NZF today to ask if we can get down to detail.
I want to see a policy better than just ticking off applications on a score sheet.
We need a criteria of actual numbers in each category, including students.
To get the best Immigrants we need to set a number of entries which are reasonable for our capacity each year.
This means selection will be the for the best qualities, in a planned way.
It will not be free entry to someone's cousin, because he misses his family.
Feel free to use words xenophobia and racism, water off a duck's back, and please explain.

On the matter of housing. Both Nanny and NZF have a disgraceful policy of State allowance for confiscation of property.

Eric said...

The whole calculation for average house prices, numbers of houses being built, and numbers of empty houses, is distorted by several factors.

Many houses are empty because they are holiday homes for people who have a primary residence somewhere else. This trend is on the increase.

A great number of building permits are for makeover renovations. This does not increase the number of dwellings. It also increases the average value of houses, and eliminates cheap houses from the market. In an increasing number of instances cheap dwellings are being removed and replaced by expensive dwellings.

People who are having new houses built for themselves are aspiring to much better houses than they currently live in. Very few are buillding smaller homes.

People who sell in Auckland and move to other areas inflate the values of the new destination without deflating the area they are vacating.

In Australia, Canberra has a wide range of new houses which includes very small houses. These small houses are very attractive and blend in to new urban development. Canberra, in particular, has the advantage of predominantly poor quality land which has little economic value for anything else, so urban sprawl is immaterial.

Australia has a policy of foreigners not being permitted to purchase existing dwellings. They must build new ( or presumably purchase new, I'm not sure where that line is drawn).

Auckland's north shore has poor quality land, either side of the northern motorway, beyond Albany, all the way to the tunnel beyond Orewa. That land would be ideally suited to urban development. Large scale housing development is already occuring between Silverdale and Orewa on the eastern side of the motorway.