Malcolm Turnbull has to go. No matter the eventual outcome (and for what it's worth I think a hung parliament is very much in play) he has to wear the failure of the Liberal Party to energize its support base.
How did he do that ... well, in the words of one commentator, he 'single-handedly trashed the Liberal brand'. He isolated out the conservatives in the caucus and the Party and denied them a voice. The result .... he allowed Pauline Hanson to arise, phoenix like from the dead (and from jail), and to hoover up votes from the centre-right with the result that One Nation will have a major influence over the term of the next parliament. Lucky Australia!!!!
Turnbull's speech on election night was a disaster. It was arrogant and cheering when there was nothing to be arrogant or cheering about. He demonstrated the patrician attributes of a poor little rich boy convinced of his divine right to lead. He had no coherent economic policy and was probably only saved by Shorten's determination to spend even more ... money that's not there. Neither Party has come to terms with the fact that the glory days of the minerals fueled boom are now bust and that throwing money at every itch is not an option.
Interesting that on the latest figures the Liberal Party lost 18 seats vote with their vote dropping by 3.66% while the Nationals held all their seats while increasing their vote by 0.65%. Strong message in that and the Liberals would be dumb to ignor it. These figures will change and exclude Queensland where the two parties campaign as one.
Leadership of the Liberal party is a 'gift' of the caucus room. What the caucus room giveth, the caucus room can taketh way. I would expect to hear knocking on Turnbull's door with Party grandees inviting themselves in for a 'come to Jesus' chat.
His replacement ... well, it won't be Tony Abbott but I do expect Abbott to be back in Cabinet. Julie Bishop ... could be having been the Deputy under both Abbott and Turnbull. That would signal a degree of stability sadly lacking right now. Hat-tip for Speaker ... Andrew Wilkie, Independent member for Denison, Tasmania. Could solve a number of problems. Mind you, the larrikin in me would suggest Bob Katter, Member for Kennedy in the far, far North and founder, leader and sole MP for Katter's Australian Party. He's mad enough to handle the job with aplomb.
Interesting times but one things for sure. Turnbull ain't no Key.
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