Friday, July 1, 2016

In For A Penny

Here's a fearless forecast.

Turnbull wins but not by much,

Fails to win the majority vote but scrapes enough seats.

The Senate in unmanageable.

Shorten clings to the Labor leadership.

Within eighteen months, Turnbull is rolled,

15 comments:

Anonymous said...

Do you get to vote?

Nick

David said...

Just rehashing what I wrote 2 hours ago ...

paul scott said...

Yes, agree with scenario. Will Abbott reclaim the PM post/?'

Gerald said...

Do you get to vote?

Given thst he picks up both the Aussie and Kiwi super thst would suggest dual citerzenship.

David said...

Abbott will lose his seat.

Johno said...

Double house majority for Turnbull & co. The electorate trusts the socialists and unionists even less.

They're just lucky they don't have a grumpy-idiot attracting populist liar like Winston in the mix.

Adolf Fiinkensein said...

Nick

No

If I did, this is the first time ever I would stay home.

David said...

They're just lucky they don't have a grumpy-idiot attracting populist liar like Winston in the mix.

Tony Abbott is still there.

Adolf Fiinkensein said...

David

Did you write something?

Sorry. All I saw was a morass of verbiage, Never read it.

The Veteran said...

David 9.05 ... with a majority of 28,000, hardly.

paul scott said...

Yes, the Senate has a different voting system this time. It is designed apparently to lower the chances of return of the @ I like big cars,and shooting and rooting Pauline Hanson @ party:
Add to this the confusion of just how to vote Senate, said to be resembling chaos.
That could lead to Liberal Conservative voting.
People might say, what is the point of all this unless we have a Senate which can enact.

Angry Tory said...

Double house majority for Turnbull & co. The electorate trusts the socialists and unionists even less.

Yep. And based on the other places that polled against Crosby-Textor (UK general, UK referendum, Scottish referendum, last NZ election) that's what I firmly expect.

Actually, on the latest polls, we can expect Pauline Hanson and some other solid Senators that won't take Turnbull's leftwing crap
(remember Turnbull canceled most of Abbott's budget cuts, insisted on stronger oversight of the police etc). Well Hanson won't be standing for any of that rubbish.

David said...

Veteran @ 11:44 - here

Adolf Fiinkensein said...

I read somewhere that over four million votes were cast early. That must be close to a quarter of those eligible to vote, so the late swing in the polls to the Libs might not make much difference to the result.

Angry Tory said...

I read somewhere that over four million votes were cast early.

Cast early and solidly for the libs.
So-called "righwingers" vote: see the UK election & referendum.
Lefty-unionist-environmentalist-terrorists don't.