When asked what a Prime Minster feared most, the late Harold Macmillan is reputed to have replied, 'Events, dear boy, events.'
Modern day political voyeurs will be watching Australia closely over the remainder of this year to see what such 'events' might transpire.
Maclolm Turnbull (or is it Julia Turnbull?) will need to be vigilant. Having used strategic acumen second only to that of Herman Goering during the Battle of Britain, Turnbull has turned an easy cruise to victory into a Titanic disaster. His election night speech was the worst any commentator has ever heard and cements the notion that he is not fit for purpose.
Anyway, I digress.
What events might occur which could trigger a vote of no confidence?
Here are three possibles.
1 The loss of Australia's AAA sovereign credit rating.
The UK had its rating downgraded within a week of voting to leave the EU. The reason for the downgrade? Instability. Turnbull campaigned on stability and produced instability so I expect a downgrade as early as late this week.
2 The return of 'The Boats.'
A week before thee election it was reported from Indonesia that people smugglers were selling tickets to Australia in anticipation of a change of government here. Well, they got one but not quite what they expected. Look for three or four rickety boats to turn up in the Indian Ocean or Timor Sea and another capsizing with thirty people drowned. I expect this event within four weeks.
3 A major Muslim terrorist attack in Australia
Two young men walk into a crowded Mildura church on Sunday morning, produce automatic pistols and shoot thirty people within five minutes. They flee, shouting 'Allahu Akbar' before any cops arrive.
Event No 3 will resonate with Australians who watched in anger as Turnbull hosted a pre-election Ramadan dinner with a known Islamic extremist hate preacher among the guest list.
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