Friday, September 11, 2015

AND THE WINNER IS ............... ?

The tolling of the midnight bell tomorrow (Saturday) will see the announcement of who is going to be the next leader of the British Labour Party.    Four contenders .... Jeremy Corbyn, Andy Burnham, Yvette Cooper and Liz Kendall.

Corbyn is the darling of the hard left of the Labour Party while the other three represent the moderate centre and centre/right of the Party.     Clearly the Corbyn campaign has galvanized the left with opinion polls suggesting he is the clear favorite but whether he can gather the 50% support needed to win in a preferential voting system is a moot point.   For what it is worth I think Corbyn needs to win on the first ballot or poll in the very high 40s to stand a chance.    I don't see him as the second preference for too many of those who support the other three candidates.

Perhaps Lord E N with his extensive pedigree as a Fleet Street journo will 'educate' us with his take on likely winners and losers.



7 comments:

pdm said...

Yvette Corbett is the wife of Ed Balls who was the early favourite to replace the boy sent to do a mans job Ed Milibrand - that is until Ed lost his seat in the last election. I always found Ed quite manipulative and unlikeable when I was in England and that will probably count against Yvette who came across as being quite capable.

Anonymous said...

I have listened to the 'interim' Labor leader (Harriet someone) over the last couple of months, and she seemed to be doing not a bad job. She certainly seems to be more capable and effective than any of the current contenders - a shame she couldn't have been persuaded to stand for the permanent position. She gave a very witty and appropriate speech in Parliament the other night in the commemorations of the Queen becoming the longest serving Monarch, and can stand her ground against DC and GO very competently. I think the BBC are covering the Labour result from 11am (British time) on Saturday.

MarcW

Anonymous said...

PS. That would be BBC2 for those who have the ability to tune in.

MarcW

pdm said...

MarcW/ - Harriet Harman was Deputy Leader to Ed Milibrand and pretty much a non performer while I was over there. She was the Electorate MP for the area where we lived in London bbut had a very low profile. Not leadership material from what I saw of her.

Anonymous said...

Politics is cyclic. In order to make democracy work you need widely different policies to offset the excesses of each other. Years of Labour misrule is counteracted by years of Tory misrule. etc,etc, My money is on Corbyn he has leadership qualities that the others lack. In fact they all look like Blair clones in drag.

Lord Egbut Nobacon

The Veteran said...

Lord E N ... thank you for that. Your comments come at no great surprise. For what it is worth and should it be a Corbyn victory the cheers in the Labour camp will be muted indeed and dwarfed by those from the Conservatives who will now sense a further decade in power and from the Liberal Democrats who stand to reap the votes from disaffected Labour voters who see Corbyn as utterly and completely unelectable.

Corbyn is a throw back to 'Wedgie' Benn and Michael Foote whose greatest achievement was in 1983 when he led the Labour Party to its lowest share of the vote at any general election since 1918.

Anonymous said...

Corbyn is in with 60% of the vote. A week is long time in politics and those who predict almost always wind up with egg on their faces. I will copy your last and pop it in my archive for future use.


Lord Egbut Nobacon