Friday, September 21, 2012

THE RACE TO THE WHITE HOUSE



 
Regular readers of my blog will recall that I argued against Romney being selected to take on Obama in the race to the White House.   I thought the odds were stacked against him from the start made worse by the vicious attacks by his rivals for the Republican nomination.  
 
I guess if I had a preference it would have been for ex Governor Mike Huckerbee, one of the 2008 contenders, but clearly he was not interested in a second shot.
 
Right now Romney's campaign is in tatters caused by some inept campaigning highlighted by 'foot in mouth' disease.    Yesterday Romney's Campaign Chair resigned.   You can read the details here.  That, coupled with a poll shift indicating a strengthening of Obama support including for the first time the chance that the Democrats may retain control of the Senate, is all bad news for the Republican Party.
 
And not good news for the world economy either.   With the US deficit out of control and with the Federal Reserve adopting Social Credit's solution of printing more money things ain't looking like improving any time soon.
 
 

12 comments:

Wes said...

Comical Adolf will be along soon to reassure us all that Romney's heading for an inevitable landslide victory. He'll be suggesting now that Rasmussen has Obama ahead they're in the pocket of the Dems and Gallup are the only poll to trust. Until tomorrow that is...

And where are those impeachment whispers he promised us all?

Noel said...

"With the US deficit out of control and with the Federal Reserve adopting Social Credit's solution of printing more money things ain't looking like improving any time soon."

Another excuse for English delaying the adopting of the Law Commission recommendation on a new support scheme for war veterans.
When was that presented to the Government? Oh yeah years ago.

The Veteran said...

Noel ... I suspect you won't be waiting much longer but I would really appreciate if you didn't threadjack. The post was about the Race for the White House.

Set up your own blog if you want to but on this blog you play by my rules based on the accepted norms of blogging.

JC said...

As Andrew Klavan has said, "anymore of these Romney "gaffes" and Romney will win in a landslide".

I'm a bit more conservative in saying R will win with 53-54%, largely because I see the US Republic/democracy as mostly self correcting.

Obamanism has been a cult born of being Black and a disgust of Bush, Republican corruption and the global financial meltdown.. but cults have to keep growing past milestones like the 2012 elections to retain success, and this hasn't happened for Obama.. he is now much less popular and successful.

Bottom line?.. his cult blew out in 2010 when the Dems got just 45% of the House and only Romneys's negatives will get him (Obama) to 48-49%.

JC

Judge Holden said...

God you're almost as bad as Adolf, JC. No analysis, just assertion and prayer. No Republican has got 54% of the vote since 1984, and Romney's not exactly Reagan (and Obama's sure as hell not Mondale). How exactly will Romney pick up the eight points he needs to get to your prediction? By suggesting the elderly be forced to polish the cars in his vertical garage before being able to access medicare? That'll work almost as well as everything else he's done.

Bottom line? Romney's an appalling candidate. GOP's worst since Ford or even Goldwater.

You're correct that the electorate are disgusted with the Republicans, but it's the tea potty which is the cult, and it's shot it's load.

Noel said...

Ross sorry Veteran said
"The post was about the Race for the White House."

It was a two horse race until one pulled up lame.

Blair said...

Last time I checked, Rasmussen's tracking polls still have them even in the swing states. Just because the Democratic MSM insist that Romney is going to lose does not make it necessarily so.

Judge Holden said...

Ignore every other polling company and cling to Rasmussen, Blair. It's bias is all you have now.

JC said...

Gallup likewise had O and R tied for Friday and Sat. O has a two point lead for Sunday.

Except for Rasmussen the other pollsters are adjusting their under representation in their surveys by using the 2008 actual voting patterns, but that was an unusual election in that Blacks, Hispanics and youth broke heavily for the Dems (youth nearly twice as much).

That wont happen this year so Rasmussen's average for the the two elections of 2004 and 2008 is likely closer to the real state of the race. Also, the likes of Gallup are surveying registered voters, not likely voters, so there's another source of potential error.

JC

Judge Holden said...

"That wont happen this year so Rasmussen's average for the the two elections of 2004 and 2008 is likely closer to the real state of the race."

That's simply utter crap, based on nil analysis of the facts or past or likely voting patterns and simply reflecting what you so desperately hope to be true. You're actually worse than Adolf, which is truly remarkable.

Judge Holden said...

Here's one for JC and Blair which details how hopeless Rasmussen is and that even Gallup has a pro-Romney bias. Sorry guys, it's actually worse than you thought.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/09/24/2012-polls-obama-bounce_n_1910146.html

JC said...

Judge,

The Huffpost is commenting on the methodology of both Rasmussen and Gallop.. fair enough, but it accepts all the other polls as being correct even though they weight their surveys based on actual turnout in the 2008 election.. that level of minority turnout was exceptional and unlikely to be repeated.

JC