Wednesday, July 25, 2012

51.5% Looks Pretty Good To Me

Today's Roy Morgan poll delivers a killer blow to Labour and the Killer Greenz.

Gnats  47.5%
Act       1.0%
Cons     3.0%

Good bye Labour

Good night Greenz

It's true, yannow.  All John Key has to do is smile and wave.  The opposition is so pathetic, nobody takes them seriously.


Anonymous said...

Well yes - shows how hugely effective the red protest? against the MOM sales are.

They are very slow learners - didn't after 2018 or 2011 - not looking like they're gona change anytime soon especially when they embed the union power brokering in choosing the leader of the Labour party.

Very good - just need the conservatives to sneak over 5% & Winne last to drop to 4.99% and things will be very peachy for 2014.


Psycho Milt said...

This graph shows National trending downwards since the election, Labour trending upwards, the Greens pretty much steady and any potential coalition partners for the Nats other than Winston First remaining below the threshold. So, yeah it does look pretty good.

Anonymous said...

Its all so much bollocks at this point but I do wonder about Shearer. He doesn't sound like a political animal really and seems to support Govt views if they appear half sensible.

He's either two faced or showing a shift in Labour. If they got back I think they'd promptly roll him for someone with the right connections to their support base.

I think tougher times will hurt the Greens. Poor people are less inclined to dwell on whales and snails when they're scratching for a living.


The Veteran said...

PM ... explain if you will your comment that "this graph shows National trending downwards since the election" when, at the election National scored 47.3% and in this poll 47.5%.

I fear for the quality of research in our Universities.

Iron Trike Myson said...

Ha ha! Veteran doesn't know what a trend is. Google it old guy!

Psycho Milt said...

The trend: ie, if you get different figures for a particular variable at different times, you can do a linear regression analysis on the data points and get a straight line to tell you if the overall trend of those data points is upwards or downwards. It's decades since I had to do a linear regression and I'm not about to start again now, but from a casual look at that graph my money's on the trend being downwards over the last 8 months.

Adolf Fiinkensein said...

Thus do the loons of the left delude themselves. They will use 'linear progression' or somesuch to convince you the Waikato river flows into lake Taupo.

BTW ITM, slagging a co-host is sailing close to the wind. Behave yourself.

Adolf Fiinkensein said...

Further to last.

Vet, you have just seen the manner in which 'climate science' is conducted.

Paulus said...

Another Rogue Poll.

Iron Trike Myson said...

"Another Rogue Poll."

Like the several dozen that show Obama leading Romney, you mean? Yeah, that is odd.

The Veteran said...

Hmmmmm ... silly me thinking that a start point of 47.3% and a end point of 47.5% represents a downwards movement in support.

Does that also mean that a start of of 47.5% and an end point of 47.3% represents an upwards movement?

And does yes = no and vice versa.

Perhaps Ecclesiastes 10:2 (NIV) had it about right in saying ....

"The heart of the wise inclines to the right, but the heart of the fool to the left."

Iron Trike Myson said...

You don't understand what a trend is! Hilarious.

The Veteran said...

And ITM clearly you don't understand that your sneering attempted put downs so indicative certain of Lefties (PM excluded) is the reason why you and yours will be wandering in the wilderness for quite some time to come.

Interpret the figures how you want and talk 'trends' until the cows come home but National would have been very happy with 47.5% at the election compared with their actual
47.3% as it would have given them one more seat.

In your case Ecclesiastes was right on the money.

Iron Trike Myson said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
Adolf Fiinkensein said...

Some people just never learn.

Anonymous said...

Re PM's comment at 12:17 "from a casual look at that graph my money's on the trend being downwards over the last 8 months".

My casual look indicated a downward trend in the last nine or ten months but in the 8 months since the election the trend looks pretty flat.

PM may be reading that slide immediately pre-election as evidence that suits his view of life.


Adolf Fiinkensein said...

Well spotted, Charles.

Psycho Milt said...

Well, I'm not going to swear to it without doing the regression analysis (and I'm sure as hell not doing that), so feel free to disagree. But the majority of those National data points since the election are below their election result, so I'm pretty confident about the trend myself.

Adolf Fiinkensein said...

Milt, isn't regression analysis something the left does after a thumping election defeat?