Monday, March 26, 2012

And What of MMP?

In Queensland, that is.

What would the result have been had Queensland operated NZ's current version of MMP?

Unfortunately the online calculator doesn't accommodate more than 70 electorates so Adolf has been forced to do a little maths and here's the result. I should think that 49.7% of Queenslanders will be very pleased they do not have MMP.

Queensland MMP

Party Vote % MMP seats Seats Won List members Overhang MPs

Labor 26.6 33 7 26
Liberal National 49.7 62 78
16 78
Greens 7.6 10 0 10
Katter Party 11.6 15 2 13
Others 4.5
2 2

100 120 89 49 18 131

The Goodies have a comfortable majority of 78 in a parliament of 131 seats, while Labour tries to talk turkey to the loons and the windbag.

Don't be surprised if the Labor rump and the loonie Greens start agitating for MMP on the grounds that - wait for it- 'Newman hasn't got a mandate.' because he got less than 50% of the popular vote.


Psycho Milt said...

So, under MMP Labor would still be out but the MPs in parliament would reflect the actual votes cast - that second point being the one actually relevant to whether MMP is a good system or not.

Adolf Fiinkensein said...

Milt, that would appear so but i haven't yet figured out how it would all work with preferences.

I suspect you have either MMP or PV but not both. I'm also presuming the voting percentages off the ABC site are primary votes only, whereas some seats will have gone to the LibNats on second preferences, thus giving a larger number of seats than might otherwise be the case.

Adolf Fiinkensein said...

On second thoughts, PV and MMP fit together well. PV decides the number of electorate seats and MMP decides the number of MPs.