Seats allocated according to latest Roy Morgan poll.
- Look how close the Maori Party is to winning list seats.
- Where is Dr Brash's mysterious private polling?
|Party name||Party Votes won||Party seat entitlement||No. of electorate seats won||No. of list MPs||Total MPs||% of MPs|
|Act New Zealand||2.00%||3||1||2||3|| ||2.50%|
|The Greens||7.50%||9||0||9||9|| ||7.50%|
|Māori Party||3.00%||4||4||0||4|| ||3.33%|
|New Zealand Labour Party||31.50%||39||0||39||39|| ||32.50%|
|New Zealand National Party||52.00%||65||0||65||65|| ||54.17%|
Here's the Adolfian prediction for November 2011. It will be bumped and shown alongside each respective Roy Morgan poll between now and election date. Should Phil Goff be replaced as Labour leader, Adolf will revise his prediction.
- Phil Goff remains Labour leader
- Dunne loses
- Dr Brash is prevented from further alienating sectors of the electorate.
- Labour wins Te Tai Tokerau
|Party name||Party Votes won||Party seat entitlement||No. of electorate seats won||No. of list MPs||Total MPs|| ||% of MPs|
|Act New Zealand||3.00%||4||1||3||4|| ||3.33%|
|The Greens||18.00%||22||0||22||22|| ||18.33%|
|Māori Party||4.00%||5||4||1||5|| ||4.17%|
|New Zealand Labour Party||20.00%||25||20||5||25|| ||20.83%|
|New Zealand National Party||51.00%||64||45||19||64|| ||53.33%|