Sunday, March 6, 2011

CHRISTCHURCH

I visited Christchurch about two weeks after the first earthquake. Driving into the city my taxi driver spoke of the effect the aftershocks were having on his family and that they were very close to leaving.

Last night and following the seven (I think) aftershocks that occurred between 7 and midnight a colleague e-mailed me to say that was it. They were walking away from their home and would not be returning.

Can I suggest that, in addition to a much changed skyline, Christchurch is also going to take a hit with its population ... and the double whammy will be that many of those going will be precisely the people the city can't afford to loose.

There is no real answer to that but it is something that both central and local government are going to have to get their heads around as they seek to rebuild.

11 comments:

JC said...

I know its a different era and all that, but Napier lost about 1% of its population killed and maybe 30% went to Wgton and Palmerston Nth post shock.

But the borough of maybe 10-15,000 recovered and by 1950 was declared a city.

What will determine the future population of Chch is whether the historic reasons for the town's existence and growth are still in place. If they are Chch will survive and grow quite vigorously.. when the shocks abate.

JC

dad4justice said...

Great to see the twisted Nats have looked after the masonic brotherhood by gifting fellow members exclusive demolition rights.

pdm said...

My uncle and aunt both in their late 70's left for Brisbane on one way tickets last Monday. When I spoke to them the day before they left they were unsure how long their stay would be but it will be more than a few weeks.

The Veteran said...

Gueez D4J ... right wing conspiracies; left wing conspiracies and now the great Masonic conspiracy.

Just one problem with with your post. Brownlie is a Catholic and Catholics don't 'do' Masons.

Now if only 'Brownlie' could somehow order the demolition work to be givenh to a firm owned by Catholics we could have the greast Catholic conspiracy too.

See how stupid your post is ... but then again you might not.

Mighty said...

If we want people to stay and re-invest their personal capital in the city we will need a much more efficient assessment and claims process than we've had so far from the September 4th event. 5 months to get an assessment done and only then to be put onto a contractors job list without a time frame (for, admittedly minor repairs) has been my experience...

Anonymous said...

Yes! Sad that conspiracy theorists are at it. They say the conspiracy theorist is generally of low IQ and simply cannot accept that big events can have simple causes. Dad hits every nail squarely on the head!

Faversham

Tinman said...

People will leave and good on them, if they're not able to handle the strain they're not going to be much use in the restoration of Christchurch.

I doubt these people will be those ChCh can afford to lose most, they're too busy to even think about leaving.

Christchurch will survive and prosper.

The Realist said...

Veteran, it's "May I suggest..."

baxter said...

Well I read the first cheap planeload to arrive in Auckland was full of Somalis and they were receiving comfort and understanding from some Immigration Quango.

dad4justice said...

So Veteran you know about the Christchurch brotherhood that includes Catholic and Masonic money boys? Get with it you silly ole fool don't you know how ChCh works?Only a stupid fool would not know how powerful the network is. Get it right. I run with facts not bullshit.

Anonymous said...

is the rehousing gong to be a competitive tender, given there are likely to be 2000 homes needed inside 2 months, even conspiracy theories aside, it is too big an ask for 3 or 4 companies to handle.