Friday, February 4, 2011

A look at our future

Farming in NZ will eventually reach it's natural capacity due to availability of land.
Tourism will likewise be limited by our isolation, so here is NZ's future.

Large scale retirement villages catering for the world's baby boomers.
Our benign weather and scenery are unbeatable.
No State benefits, subsidies or pensions provided.
But full access to state of the art medical facilities.
You can speak whatever language you like.
Anyone convicted of criminal activity is immediately deported to country of origin.

Just bring your cash, security clearance and medical insurance.

14 comments:

James Stephenson said...

You mean *traditional* farming will reach it's capacity so we'll need to start farming old people?

Lou Taylor said...

I guess you could put it that way.

Adolf Fiinkensein said...

Lou, they were spouting this nonsense forty years ago at Lincoln University. I didn't think you would fall for it.

What will happen over the next forty years is exactly what has happened over the last forty.

Technology will conspire to defeat the academics by doubling the milk production per cow, doubling the number of cows carried on an acre of prime land, doubling the number of lambs produced by each ewe and accelerating the growth rate of those lambs.

Sadly, it will fail to halve the number of drones in university staff rooms and gummint offices.

Anonymous said...

In respect of technology being the answer Adolf I think you are wrong. There comes a point when you cannot push nature harder without damaging the resource beyond a recovery point. Where that is is unclear but I think science has hopes for GE crops that may be misplaced. I think farms like Polyface Farm are a partial answer.

We have turned significant areeas of good farmland close to cities into unproductive wasteland called lifestyle blocks.

Adolf Fiinkensein said...

Anon, you are quite wrong.

Back in 1967, I saw one such lifestyle block just out of Wanganui producing more gross profit than a 500 acre sheep and beef farm. It was producing flower seeds for export.

You might not realise it but the world's starving could today be well fed but for the ill informed screeching of the so called environmental movement over every significant technological step forward in food production.

Not to mention of course their latest debacle being the transfer of huge tonnages of foodstuff into the production of idiotically uneconomic motor fuel with the inevitable shortages of bulk cheap food for the world's poor..

Lou Taylor said...

Of couse we can increase per head production Adolf but somewher there will be a limit to what the eco system can sustain. Whilst farming will undoubtably be the backbone of NZ I was merely trying to come up with an idea that might employ a few more city slickers.

Adolf Fiinkensein said...

Lou, the rural sector already is employing more city slickers but only those who are prepared to work.

Go and read some of Homepaddock's posts about the staggering rise in the number of families resident in valleys around her home since 1990.

The only real factor limiting agricultural production is tha mount of CO2 and sunlight available for plants to convert into carbohydrates.

The socialist luddites have successfully conned the world into limiting the supply of CO2. Their next step will be to find a way of repressing the sun.

Psycho Milt said...

Technology will conspire to defeat the academics...

And:

Sadly, it will fail to halve the number of drones in university staff rooms...

You might want to ponder the relationship between "technology" and the "drones" in university staff rooms, Adolf...

Anonymous said...

Adolf @ 4.05

That may be true of one small area and I don't disagree about possibilities of using land productively (like Polyface) but I don't think enough will willingly farm a bit of land to make that dream a widespread truth.

I agree that pinching food of people to run cars (and wreck them) is stupid, especially when the process is so inefficient.


Don't confuse practical conservationists living in the real world with the political greens seeking a marxist utopia.

If we were all being productive what would the shopping malls do?

Adolf Fiinkensein said...

Milt, the relationship is inverse.

You don't get much innovation and scientific progress from 'political studies' or 'humanities' or a coupla gazillion B of Arts degrees or 'multiculti wankathons' or 'climate change computer models' or 'Indoctrination into Socialism 101' now, do you?

Blair said...

Farming in NZ will eventually reach it's natural capacity due to availability of land.

That's like saying we're going to run out of coal one day. It's technically true, but it's not exactly an imminent threat, is it?

Anonymous said...

That's the problem with predictions (just ask Paul Ehrlich)

There as likely to be wrong as right.

Anonymous said...

Adolf is very correct versus Psycho Milt ~ academics aren't terribly useful, but tell a good story about themselves. Ref "The Rational Optimist" [How prosperity evolves] by Matt Ridley ~ private sector has been and still is human saviour
Peter

Psycho Milt said...

You don't get much innovation and scientific progress from [...the arts, humanities and social sciences...] now, do you?

Don't you? Universities have been around a long time, and the idea that they're just a kind of fancy polytech or publicly-funded research and development wing hasn't. Or in other words, there's a bit more to Western civilisation than improved farming techniques.

Adolf is very correct versus Psycho Milt ~ academics aren't terribly useful, but tell a good story about themselves.

Yeah, sure. I'm willing to back the contribution of universities to civilisation ahead of the contribution of objectivists any day. For that matter, I'd be willing to back the contribution of universities ahead of the contributions of alien abductees or Wiccans - it's a less uneven contest.