However, of one thing Adolf is certain. National Party people will be hoping and praying Harawira does indeed get into bed with Bradford and beget the ugliest of ugly offspring, the Ratbags Party. I can imagine the Party Chairman might be Kieth Locke and the chief strategist Matt McCarten. (He's the only one with any real brains but according to some reports he may well be dead before the campaign proper begins.)
So, what might happen at at election where the Ratbag Party pulls votes from Labour and the Greens and drives the Hammeroids scurrying back to ACT just as fast as they can go? The latter factor seems to have been ignored by pundits across the spectrum. Fear of the Ratbag Party will rejuvenate the ACT vote.
Have a look at the chart below and larrrfff your aaarse off.
- Harawira is defeated by Tamihere in Tai Tokerau.
- Hide retains Epsom.
- Bascowan wins Tamaki.
- Boufhead loses Ohariu.
- Maggie Barry wins Coromandel.
- Peters and the Greens both just miss five percent.
- Both Labour and National poll a little less than current opinion polls indicate.
|Party name||Party Votes won||Party seat entitlement||No. of electorate seats won||No. of list MPs||Total MPs|| ||% of MPs|
|Act New Zealand||6.00%||8||2||6||8|| ||6.67%|
| Ratbags ||9.00%||12||1||11||12|| ||10.00%|
|Māori Party||3.00%||4||4||0||4|| ||3.33%|
|New Zealand Labour Party||23.00%||31||15||16||31|| ||25.83%|
|New Zealand National Party||48.00%||65||41||24||65|| ||54.17%|
That's when you can expect to see more cuts to gummint spending, more sale of state liabilities (such as Radio NZ and TVNZ), axing of at least thirty PC 'commissions;' elimination of interest free student loans; a clamp down on lifestyle beneficiaries and a wind back of the iniquitous Working For Families.