Looking into my political crystal ball for 2011 and the following picture emerges ......
National will win the election with an increased number of seats sufficient to govern in its own right but will decide against going alone. There will be some surprises in the National Party List. John Key will assume the mantle of 'King Dick Seddon'. National will win BECAUSE of him.
Labour will loose seats and Phil Goff will do a Helen Clark on election night and step down.
The Greens will gain seats at the expense of Labour.
All bets are off in Epsom. The continuing feud in ACT between their Pragmatist Wing (Hide) and their Ideologue Wing (Douglas) coupled with increasing attacks on National will turn off many voters. National may decide they are not worth the effort and go all out for Epsom. Redbaiter will continue to drive people away from voting ACT in droves.
Ohariru voters will continue to demonstrate they have no political sense while the electorate remains bereft of a decent men's hairdresser.
The Maori Party may well pick up an additional seat but if they are offered and accept a role within government John Harawira will quit and sit as an Independent.
Winston First will get 4.9998% of the Party Vote thereby proving to his supporters that the 'great conspiracy' does exist directed by the Jews or Chinese or .... (you insert).
In the referendum the electorate will demonstrate its lack of political maturity and vote to retain MMP.
Richie McCaw will get a Knighthood.
You heard it first.
National working for and in the south #4
29 minutes ago