Yesterday's RoyMorgan poll contained a hint that the ETS and people's loathing for it might already be seeping into the political consciousness.
".......comprising National Party 51.5% (down 2%), Maori Party 2% (down 0.5%), ACT NZ 2.5% (up 1%)......"
For the first time in I don't know how long, one can see a one percent drift from National to ACT. I suspect this represents a growing dissatisfaction by conservatives over the apparent unwillingness of National to act on a whole raft of issues, with that dissatisfaction focusing more and more on the ETS. (The last time such a swing lasted for more than one month was Feb - April 2009 when National moved from 56 to 54.5 to 50.0 while ACT moved from 1.5 to 2.5 to 4.0.)
Adolf was all in favour of the ETS until climategate came along and pulled the rug from the hitherto ascendant global warmenisers. Even before that, the ETS was always a political rather than economic or scientific device. It was never going to have the slightest effect on reducing CO2 emissions but it was going to have a huge effect on protecting our export markets in the lands of the deluded. Those Eurowankers who would lock us out of our markets at the perceived drop of an incandescent light bulb.
But that's all history now.
The carbon trading markets have died as people lose faith in the global warming religion and it's disciples are revealed to be really a bunch of conniving international con men. The US will not go to cap and trade, Rudd is set to lose the next federal election because of his fixation on his version of ETS and NACTionalMP will go the same way if they persist with it.
Perhaps the ETS will be the defining issue for ACT between now and November 2011?
Keep an eye on the next Roy Morgan poll for further clues.