Saturday, March 20, 2010

Roy Morgan Signals End of ETS

For more than a little while Adolf has been wondering how Mr Key will extricate his government from the disastrously foolish Emissions Trading Scheme which before long will commence stripping away what little wealth we have left. The other day I pondered the possibility of ACT and the Maori Party ganging up at the next election and making the scheme's repeal a condition of continued support for National.

Yesterday's RoyMorgan poll contained a hint that the ETS and people's loathing for it might already be seeping into the political consciousness.

".......comprising National Party 51.5% (down 2%), Maori Party 2% (down 0.5%), ACT NZ 2.5% (up 1%)......"

For the first time in I don't know how long, one can see a one percent drift from National to ACT. I suspect this represents a growing dissatisfaction by conservatives over the apparent unwillingness of National to act on a whole raft of issues, with that dissatisfaction focusing more and more on the ETS. (The last time such a swing lasted for more than one month was Feb - April 2009 when National moved from 56 to 54.5 to 50.0 while ACT moved from 1.5 to 2.5 to 4.0.)

Adolf was all in favour of the ETS until climategate came along and pulled the rug from the hitherto ascendant global warmenisers. Even before that, the ETS was always a political rather than economic or scientific device. It was never going to have the slightest effect on reducing CO2 emissions but it was going to have a huge effect on protecting our export markets in the lands of the deluded. Those Eurowankers who would lock us out of our markets at the perceived drop of an incandescent light bulb.

But that's all history now.

EU Carbon trading Market crashes

The carbon trading markets have died as people lose faith in the global warming religion and it's disciples are revealed to be really a bunch of conniving international con men. The US will not go to cap and trade, Rudd is set to lose the next federal election because of his fixation on his version of ETS and NACTionalMP will go the same way if they persist with it.

Perhaps the ETS will be the defining issue for ACT between now and November 2011?

Keep an eye on the next Roy Morgan poll for further clues.


Barnsley Bill said...

The numbers need to be taken with the assumption that Winston First, Anderton First and the tobacco industry MP from United are finished and their numbers are irrelevant.

Anonymous said...

This is a GREAT poll.

ACT will certainly be above the threshold at the next election, well on the way to 10% or more.

If you want reform, if you want to be able to run your business without government intervention, if you want real tax cuts, realistic benefit cuts, the defect wipe out, the cops hunting down the gangs...

if you are an independent human being

vote ACT

Anonymous said...

Bill English will never let go of the ETS - it will transfer $21 billion from the private sector to the Crown. This is what it was always all about - and there is no way Bill and his mate Mad Nick Smith will give up the $21 billion.

Anonymous said...

English getting rid of a backdoor tax. Not in a million years

Adolf Fiinkensein said...

Fellers, you don't seem to have woken up to the fact that carbon credits now being worthless, there ain't gonna be no tax windfall for anyone.

Anonymous said...

Who's betting on i8mplementation of ACT's policy in the Budget by
substituting a Carbon Tax for the ETS....with new funding for scientific research to reduce CO2 in the agriculture sector, etc - as opposed to paying Kyoto liabilities to Russia & others in Central Europe.
If not, why not?