Monday, December 21, 2009

A Very Good Week For ACT

Last week may turn out to be a very good week for the ACT Party.

It was the week during which the backroom shenanigans by the old goat and the young mother were revealed and which shenanigans appear to have cemented party leader Rodney Hide in place.

http://www.nbr.co.nz/files/article-images/Rodney_Hide_at_parliament.JPG

He now has a chance to clean out the stables and look to the party's Board to bring in to its list some candidates with more widespread appeal and political common sense. (Douglas and Roy have done their dashes.)

People like Shaun Plunkett maybe? (He's likely to be looking for a job.)

http://www.3news.co.nz/Portals/0-Articles/128221/plunket.jpg

Or maybe Dr Chris deFreitas?

http://www.nzcpr.com/chrisdf.jpg

Which brings me to the second reason it was a very good week for ACT.

Copenhagen and John Key's childlike adherence to the rapidly crumbling and discredited mantra of the Global Warmenisers and their vast conspiracy of junk science, media manipulation and wealth transfer on a giant scale.

ACT needs only to hold its head high and campaign hard on it's opposition to the hot air and horse shit from Copenhagen; make the repeal of the ridiculous ETS a central plank of its 2011 campaign, get a few decent candidates on its list, put up John Bascowan for a win in Tamaki electorate and it's a shoe in for ten percent party vote in 2011 to go alongside two electorate seats. Hell, if ACT campaigned on the repeal of the ETS they'd get MY party vote.

If it was really brave it would also campaign to lift the MMP threshold from five percent to eight or even ten percent. (Good night Greens.)

Those two issues alone must be worth at least five percent party vote out in mainland 'feet on the ground' New Zealand.

That's the way to vault out of the nether world of political tail on the dog and become a party of substance and serious influence.

19 comments:

KG said...

"Those two issues alone must be worth at least five percent party vote out in mainland 'feet on the ground' New Zealand."
More, I reckon.

Anonymous said...

My party vote will go to ACT because if they can take enough from National, National will not be able to form a government without them. They will need to get more mps than the MP though so that National will not be able to govern with the MP.
It's what I should have done last time.

Anonymous said...

Gosh, you're a bright boy, aren't you? Start a flame war with the Greens, how clever. And when you try to raise the 5% list threshold, they will counter with a campaign to scrap the coathanger rule (1 electorate MP gets all list MPs in). Good bye ACT.

Adolf Fiinkensein said...

Anonymous, you really are a dolt. My understanding is the threshold can be changed simply by means of cabinet authorising a change to the regulations. Doesn't need a campaign.

David Baigent said...

I didn't see much Act "good" in the week.

Looked like a lot of damage control to me.
While Act supporters argue for their principled decision making process they make themselves just too hard to vote for.

Watch for an "Asian Interest Party" in the future.
Now that would scare you.
Well to the right of center and disciplined party voting would be automatic.
Internal decision making by decree.
Look at the census figures and wonder..

Allan said...

Good and valid points. I am beginning to think that John Key was the Manchurian Candidate and is a closet Socialist. His actions re the smacking debate in ignoring the wishes of a good majority of people and failing to repeal the law were bad enough, however the ETS scheme that was introduced by them combined with the way they are bowing down to the wishes of the Maori Party and its
racist political programme have really turned me off National. I am beginning to think that ACT is the only party that has the genuine interest of the country at heart and is the only party that has the policies to pull us out of the downward spiral that it is in.

Anonymous said...

"Hell, if ACT campaigned on the repeal of the ETS they'd get MY party vote."

ACT campaigned to "Dump the ETS" last election. Did they get your party vote then?

Psycho Milt said...

Those two issues alone must be worth at least five percent party vote out in mainland 'feet on the ground' New Zealand.

As anon immediately above points out, ACT already campaigned on dumping the ETS and no-one gave a shit.

To add to that, ACT had about the most ideal conditions they're ever likely to get last year - 9 years of a high-tax, finger-wagging schoolmarm govt that eventually managed to piss off most of the country. There probably hasn't ever been such a groundswell of resentment against nanny state in NZ as happened last year, and yet ACT couldn't even get as many votes as NZ fucking First.

In short, it's hard to see how fighting laughably incompetently amongst themselves is going to improve that extremely low electoral appeal, so I disagree this has been a good week for them.

In even shorter: Roger Douglas = severe electoral liability. Get rid of him quick.

Adolf Fiinkensein said...

Of course, you all are locked into yesterday's environment. Perhaps you missed Climategate and the Copenfailure.

Do try to keep up, chaps.

KG said...

"All" Adolf? Not moi. I reckon climategate could yet turn out to be an important influence on the way people view the ratbastard ETS.

Barnsley Bill said...

Pm sums it up fairly well but I believe he has overlooked how strong national were. The hype prior to the elction was all about them getting a majority without needing ACT. This would have cost ACT votes.
Not that it really matters to me whether Act survive or not.
I hate them all equally. It was only ever about getting rid of Clark for me.
Saying that I am surprised at how disappointed I am feeling about national and now Act. Rodney turning out to be a troughpig like the rest of them is a debilitating blow for Act and you can bet the labour scum will be pounding that issue at the next lolly scramble.

Gooner said...

It's not the policies ACT has to come up with. They've always had plenty of policy. In 2005, Brash ran on ACT policies and almost won. That shows the policies are fine.

It's impossible to go past the fact that National and Labour are the *players* in NZ politics, like it or not. They've been around for 70+ years, have big party machines, and dominate the advertising and media. If an analogy can be used, then National and Labour are McDonalds and Burger King, and ACT, Greens & Maori are the local takeaway bar trying to break into the bigtime, but constantly fighting the impossible. It's tough trying to steal market share.

I've been involved with ACT since 1996 and have heard all the excuses under Sun: they need a female in charge; they need to be more right wing; they need to be more left wing; they need to work on softening their image; they need to have a harder image; they need to do this, do that blah blah blah.

ACT people talk a lot about their idealistic world, which is ironic because it is a party of realists. In my 14 years with ACT my view is that ACToids spend a lot of time telling everyone else what the world should be like, but spend little time actually doing anything about it.

For ACT to be a serious player, it needs to stay contrarian; pick a few small issues and own them; and work on picking up an extra 2% or so each election along with another electorate or two longer term. Yes. You read right. An extra 2% each election. Small steps towards a giant leap. I remember the 1999 election where Prebble went around saying ACT was going to get 15%. That was not going to happen and simply makes us look silly and sets us up for failure. If you set a goal, you should achieve it: 15% was a non starter.

The other very important thing ACT needs to do I believe is to be very careful about its language and words. It needs to use the language of the Left to gain votes from the middle. If you look very carefully at the language of the Left in this country its emotive and full of puffery without any substance. ACT has been always been full of substance, but without appealing to people's emotion. That requires very careful strategic thinking and marketing.

ACT will survive until at least 2014. Rodney won't lose Epsom in 2011 - he cannot drop 13,000 votes in a term, especially when the voters of Epsom know the only other coalition option is Hone Harawira. Anyway, Rodney is actually very popular in Epsom, despite what the shouters say.

Finally, if the 3 ACT MPs who tried to overthrow the Leader spent more time on winning the hearts of New Zealanders rather than stroking their own egos then maybe ACT might just be on more than 2.5% right now. And that's all about leadership, a trait that those 3 MPs have just shown they do not have.

kehua said...

The Whanau have 21 Party Votes that will go to the Party which abolishes the ETS bullshit. Voted Blue last time nuff said.

Anonymous said...

My party vote will go to ACT because if they can take enough from National, National will not be able to form a government without them.

absolutely!

It's what I should have done last time.

Duh.


Well to the right of center and disciplined party voting would be automatic.
Internal decision making by decree.


Now that's more fucking like it!



To add to that, ACT had about the most ideal conditions they're ever likely to get last year - 9 years of a high-tax, finger-wagging schoolmarm


And PM shows his complete ignorance of politics. 9 years of Labour is great for National, but crap for ACT. Which is what we saw. To fight Labour, the right* all coalesces around National.

After one or two terms of National - when National continues to do nothing - That's when ACT will have it's best chance. Towards the end of National's term, again things will get more polarised as wimpy voters go back to Labour, so the right goes back to National to try and keep 'em out.


Then ACT needs no more than one or two policies that everyone in the country understands. Fuck entire spreadsheets, fuck complex stories about "keeping the kids at home" or some such wankery Brash-level report. Just two policies that can be explained together in less that ten words. Policies that 40% of the country will absolutely hate, that 50% will sneakingly admire, and that 10% will vote for!

My pick: ZERO BENEFITS, ZERO TOP TAX

* all benefits, from dole to DPB to WFF to Super a zeroed. yep. no more money. for any reason whatsoever. just none. for nobody. no more fucking bludgers.

* top tax rate is set to 0%. yep, the 39c rate just goes to fucking ZERO. No one ever pays more than $17840.00 income tax, no matter how much they earn.

Oh - and both of these are totally non-negotiable. If National welshes on either of 'em, snap election time!

ZERO BENEFITS, ZERO TOP TAX

Simple policy that everyone can understand, and that one in ten will vote for rather than voting for the Do-Nothing Tories.




(* ACT isn't really right wing, is it? Lets face it, ACT is really the centre left, ACT's policies are to the left of fucking Obama!, and even Brash says his latest plans for 2010 are just Cullens plans for 2005. Fuckheads.)

Psycho Milt said...

And PM shows his complete ignorance of politics.

This from the guy who spent 2008 writing how National and ACT were certain to fulfil his fascist fantasies when they got into power? How's that working out for you, Sinner?

Inventory2 said...

To say that it was a "good week for Act" is stretching things just a little. Then again, if you apply the old Oscar Wilde line that "It's better to be talked about than not talked about" ....

Anonymous said...

The Greens may be gone anyway.

As more climategate evidence comes out how many votes do they need to lose?

People are getting angry. They're going to get angrier before this is over - and it will be years. So a smart operator would maybe be running a bit of a reminder campaign against the Greens from the end of next year.

How many nongs voted for the Greens to give a vote to the 'enviroment'? 20%? 40%?

haha - catchpa - minto

Anonymous said...

Yeah - it's been a real good week for Rodney "Perks Buster" Hide.

He and his girlfriend got their taxpayer-funded holiday snaps back from the photo lab.

Anonymous said...

It's also looking to be a good week for ACT.

Sir Wodger and his missus are heading off overseas on a fully taxpayer-funded holiday.

Why you ask?

Well because they think they've earned a break and because "we blimmin' well can."