Well, I'm gobsmacked. I'm shocked. I'm horrified. I just cannot explain it.
The latest Roy Morgan Poll is out and it slows a slump in the polls for National, down 3.5% to 44%.
Labour is up four to 38%, though the commentators say it is at the expense of New Zealand First, who are now are on 2% (down 4).
The gap is now just 6% suggesting John Key will scrape in but only just. But what might happen in the campaign?
But what has caused National to lose several points as well?
Surely all that business over the secret tapes was just froth and bubble.
People, or at least the commentariat wanted policy, and while its delivery could have been better, they got it in spades. Where is Liarbour's policy?
But let us look at the big issue of the past two weeks. Winston Peters. Dear Leader has been joined at the hip to her poodle. She has backed him through thick and thin. She has been his willing accomplice, his partner in crime. Liarbour too should also have suffered from its association. National should have held its own while ACT, with Rodney Hide taking lead on the issue, should have gained. But instead no movement for ACT, no reward for ACT's integrity.
Are the people bored? Do Kiwis not care about corruption in government? Are Kiwis happy to reward that corruption so long as Helen delivers a few readies in the back pocket?
Not that she is doing that. Whatever might accrue from upcoming interest rate cuts and taxcuts will be gobbled in higher charges for fuel and other things, particullrly when they result from Dear Leader's Emmission's Trading Scam.
Which brings us on to National, whose policy seems litte different, as it is with just about every other policy.
We have heard much about National being Liarbour-lite, adopting its policies so not to 'frighten the horses.'
The policy seemed to have worked with National having poll leads of 20% or more, but these leads have been whittled down alarmingly. Is it because the inconsistencies of this, with National stumbling over what it would like to do, versus what it feels it can gt away with, causing all kinds of issues, as the secret tapes saga revealed.
Would National have done better if offering more clearer and direct opposition, not ashamed of his capitalist leanings and unafraid to offer a clear change for New Zealand, one that would make a real differenc to our prosperity, rather than hoping to nudge the horses towards it after an election.
Indeed, is there something wrong with the horses, or maybe I should say sheeple? But this horse is frightened tonight, frightened Liarbour will now win the eletion, a fear I have not held for quite some time. And if it does happen, then this horse is bolting!
UPDATE: NZPA looks a other polls too.
UPDATE2: The Standard starts gloating.