They need to find something dramatic. Something which clutches at the heart strings of the nation. Something which will con decent ordinary people. A combination of earth shattering and unexpected events, ruthlessly orchestrated.
Within a week of Cullen's budget bribes as leaked by Adolf in an earlier post, look for a sham diagnosis and shock retirement of the PM with squeaky clean Filk Off stepping up to the plate. After all, if the party president was able to talk her into getting married for the sake of the party, his successor should have no difficulty talking her into a bout of terminal cancer from which miraculously she will survive after only nineteen weeks on Herceptin.
As the mawkish media hangs on every tear jerking medical bulletin and opinion poll's reflect the rising sympathy vote for the 'Mother of the Country,' (pardon me while I spew) expect a hay maker from Mallard - linking some previously nondescript official in the National Party's central office to the Exclusive Brethren. (By this time Labour will have worked out they can't touch John Key but they need to invoke the ghost of the EBs.)
A week later Michael Cullen will suffer a break down and Mallard will graciously move in as Deputy PM and Finance Minister.
With only six weeks left until election day, Labour might just have a chance to pull off the upset of the century, with a little help from Winston of course.
7 comments:
Considering how the Waiheke foot and mouth scare appeared as Doonegate was set to cause problems for Liarbour, your scenario does not sound as far fetched as might appear.
Of course, Liarbour might also rustle up some Maori radicals to kidnap Dear Leader, with Liarbour gaining kudos as somehow a link between the Maori Party and John Key having a hongi with Tame Iti is discovered and both National and the Moairi Party get the blame.
Nah, what will happen is that, like Muldoon before them, they'll adopt a scorched earth policy rather than admit that they finally blew it.
It'll be ugly, and nobody will be safe, because this time we'll have a woman scorned to deal with as well.
It's the next couple of polls that will really tell the story. Colmar Brunton and TV3 - is it UMR?
You know, none of the buggers has ever asked me what I think of Clark.
Adolf
Probably for a good reason!!!!!
Most of the professional political pontificaters seem to think Labour can't do anything to raise their electoral fortunes. Not so, methinks. Look for some fireworks.
Bullshit. all of them are disgraced and destroyed.
None of them now in parliament will ever be in government again (yes than includes Goff)!
Think about Kevin Rudd. He joined federal aussie parliament in 1998 two years after Keating was thrown to the scrapheap. Or - for that matter - think about Kiwi Key! Not even in parliament until 2002: never been a minister or even a government backbencher.
The next leader of a "left wing"* government is most likely not in parliament. No members of the parliamentary Labour or Green party now will be in government again. Chances are that John Key will be PM until 2021 and National in government (with coalition partners) until 2024.
Frankly: I'd say there is even money that this is the last ever Labour-lead government in NZ's history: and that the 2024 government will be a coalition of Greens and a new, left-leaning Pacifica-Christian based party.
For a start, Unions will never be able to support political parties and governments again, after the revision of the EFA. That in itself will axe half the labour party. The public revulsion that is already starting to make itself felt will do the rest.
A serious green leader - serious in actually tacking the battle to Labour - should see the greens and labour splitting the hard-left vote this year, and the greens drawing ahead of labour in 2013
*(The next leader of a centre-left government is of course John Key). But we hope that he will move at least to the centre, or centre right, once he is in government!
like Muldoon before them, they'll adopt a scorched earth policy rather than admit that they finally blew it.
like Muldoon? Can you provide any evidence that Muldoon actually ran a "scorched earth" policy?
The precendent isn't Muldoon and 1984, it's Lange and 1990. And we know that (for all the leftist spin) Douglas' post 1984 budget really did nothing for NZ's economy: the hard work was Richardson's single budget in 1990.
And - given the economic circumstances - I am sure that Key and English will do at least as good a job as Richardson did in 1990: in fact, we can be sure they'll do better --- they will finish the job, and ensure that Labour, and the communist politics they have forced on NZ, will never again be possible in this country
Hi Anonymous - re Muldoon: his party lost the election, didn't it?
Muldoon couldn't stand the idea of his time being up, and he made sure nobody else could step up in time.
That's what I meant by scorched earth; leaders who only care about themselves don't give a damn what they leave behind, either to the party or the people.
Clark's baleful legacy will destroy her party too - and we'll get caught in the crossfire.
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