Thursday, April 24, 2008

NACTional Governs

The first Roy Morgan poll for a month puts National and Act into a comfortable coalition with a majority of two seats.

National are up three at 50%, Labour up 1 at 35.5%, Greens are down at 6.5% and Winston Peters is where he deserves to be. Out on his arse.
arty name Party Votes won Party seat entitlement No. of electorate seats won No. of list MPs Total MPs % of MPs
Act New Zealand 1.50% 2 1 1 2
1.60%
Green Party 6.50% 8 0 8 8
6.40%
Jim Anderton's Progressive 0.00% 0 1 0 1 * 0.80%
Labour Party 35.50% 44 0 44 44
35.20%
Maori Party 2.50% 3 7 0 7 * 5.60%
National Party 50.00% 62 0 62 62
49.60%
United Future New Zealand 0.50% 1 1 0 1
0.80%
Totals 96.50% 120 10 115 125 100.00%

Notes:

11 comments:

Anonymous said...

comfortable coalition with a majority of two seats.

Or three seats counting Dunne.

Now let's see, if a couple of percent of the Maori party's party vote goes to Labour, or if Labour/Green picks up just another couple of percent of National, or if Winston comes back from the grave (labour tatical voters in Tauranga will do it)

then, the most likely result on this poll is still a Labour government

you may not like that fact - but that's what the numbers actually say. It's what happens when National has to compete in a Maorimandered electoral system

Lindsay said...

Interesting how you slag off 'Actoids' and 'policy buffs' one day and the next assume they want to be in a coalition with National.

Psycho Milt said...

Did you forget Jim Anderton, Adolf? He's not retiring or anything is he?

FAIRFACTS MEDIA said...

So the result of MMP is?
The party that wins, loses!
If so, I think we could well have some kind of constitutional crisis on our hands.

Blair said...

National are only going to govern with ACT if no other options are available, and this poll suggests there are.

Anonymous said...

So the result of MMP is?
The party that wins, loses!
If so, I think we could well have some kind of constitutional crisis on our hands.


Yep. Big surprise. And that's without about 30 electorate seats and the party vote coming under huge numbers of claims under the EFA for corrupt practice.

So it will come down to the jugdes and GG - appointed by guess who?

Adolf Fiinkensein said...

PM, sorry about that. Fixed

Lindsay

No, I'm not slagging off Actoids. I just wish they'd show a bit more loyalty to their party and the people in it who work their arses off.

Lindsay said...

Adolf, Yesterday you said, "Well, all I can say to you policy wonks is 'good luck' as you buy your policies from the biggest gang of crooks and liars who ever walked."

Today you say, "No, I'm not slagging off Actoids. I just wish they'd show a bit more loyalty to their party and the people in it who work their arses off."

Well, I'm now thoroughly confused.

Adolf Fiinkensein said...

Lindsay, let's put the comments in context. Yesterday's comment was in the context of a number of people arguing that 'policy' is what counts. I'm trying to suggest to them that 'policy on its own without people of at least some integrity' is a mirage.

As for ACT not wanting to go into coalition with National, well hello! Are you one of those who would rather be pure in opposition for ever rather than sitting around the cabinet table and actually getting SOME of your olicies enacted?

Lindsay said...

You forget that a lot of ACT people came from Labour backgrounds and don't have some sort of residual loyalty or leaning towards National. While policies and people intertwine to a degree, the policies are still paramount. I would rather see ACT in opposition than supporting a government retaining WFF, the current method of funding education and the current welfare system. Those are the things that matter to me.

Psycho Milt said...

I would rather see ACT in opposition than supporting a government retaining WFF...etc

See, now that's a party that stands for something and has some bollocks. Of course, it's also a recipe for permanent opposition, because coalition partners with 1.5% of the vote don't get to tell the majority vote-holder what the policy's going to be. Coalition govt entails many sorrows.