This morning's Herald-Digipoll drives another nail into Helen Clark's political coffin with National's lead ballooning out to 15%; John Key regaining the lead as PPM and pulling more of the female vote; and the Greens hanging on by the skin of their teeth. (An anti smacking referendum just before the election will finally see them off.)
What is so frustrating is that nowhere can I find the actual figures from the poll. I'd like to know how ACT and the Maori Party are polling. Further, I'd like to see ALL the figures with last month's figures alongside.
We are told that 'undecideds' are polling at 6%. Where were they last month? Are they swinging to National or Labour? (By my calcs, if 65% of the undecideds go National in the polling booth, then National's margin over Labour would increase by 1.8 percentage points.)
It looks as though we may be heading for a decisive FFP result.
John Armstrong reckons this poll has just about killed off any chance Cullen has to get some releif from his upcoming budget.
".........Budget Day is the one day Labour will have voters' undivided attention. If the polls don't budge, then what? The load on Cullen's shoulders just got heavier."