Thursday, October 23, 2014

Tumultuous Was An Understatement.

Cripes it was  40 years ago!

Gough Whitlam was shown  the door by the Monarch's representative,  Governor General Sir John Kerr when the Liberal Country Coalition by their control of the Federal Senate repeatedly  refused to pass supply.
In effect the Federal Bureaucracy was without the money to pay the wages leaving the Labor Government scrambling to find a way forward.
A series of rather extraordinary funding schemes were promoted then abandoned  including one funded by Saddam Hussein of Iraq and Whitlam refused to call a double dissolution as a remedy, where  the Senate and The Lower House would face an election that could see the government gain enough support in the Senate while maintaining their majority in the Lower House.
Whitlam wanted to keep his 1974 house result stand and  only have half the senate face the electorate to buy time and perhaps get some wavering members of Malcolm Frazer's Senate support to fold.

The actual mechanics of "The Dismissal" were a legend in their own right.
Whitlam attempted to call The Queen who Kerr wanted kept out of the shambles, of course by withdrawing Whitlam's warrant he lost that right.
When the Senate reconvened at 2 pm the supply bills were rapidly passed and Senators thought only that the Libs had folded.
When The House reconvened Whitlams supporters now knowing what had transpired voted to restore their Champion and dispatched the Speaker to inform the GG Frazer could not get a vote of confidence in the house and Whitlam had the numbers but the proclamation ending the parliament had already been read ending with the traditional words "God save the Queen" to which a nearby Gough Whitlam in an impromptu speech on the steps of the Parliament opened with: "that may well save Her majesty, nothing will save The Governor general"

Coming along after decades of right of center Liberal governments Whitlam came to power and embarked on some serious socialist impacts on how Australia did things but as with Abbott,  currently, the fact that only  half the senators face the electorate as they serve a term of six years, the vote that elected Abbott's coalition did not win a majority in the senate where the balance of power lies with the Green Party and a bunch of even more minors controlled by Palmer, Katter, Xenophon a motorist party and a pseudo from NSW who managed to confuse enough voters by incorporating the word Liberal in his party name.

1974 saw Whitlam win the lower house again having wrested it from the Liberals in 1972, after 23 years in the wilderness but failed again to get over Frazer's Senate numbers and Frazer refused supply through most of 1975.
With the money running out before the christmas period Kerr who had a belief  that the office of  GG had the power to dismiss a Prime minister, confirmed by the then Chief Justice,  ended Whitlam's commission and offered the prime ministership to Frazer on condition he pass the supply bills through the Senate,  agree to pass no new legislation and call a Double Dissolution as soon as possible.
At that December 1975 election Whitlam's Labor party suffered a devastating defeat and it was 1983 before Hawke restored the ALP to the Treasury Benches.

Kerr never recovered, he was vilified for ratting on Labor and died a broken man with the demon drink implicated in his demise.

Gough Whitlam's recent passing, has reawakened the "affair" but full discovery will not occur as the papers relating to Kerr consulting with her Majesty are sealed until 2037 when King Charles the third will be 89 or a late middle aged King William will reign.


So, Norman's response to the Canadian killings is to caution against any involvement in the international campaign against Islamic terrioroism least we.become a target.   Well news for Norman, we are, like it or not, we and his ostrich like approach matters nowt to the crazies out there.

Norman being Norman and I suspect if he had been around on 3.September 1939 he would have argued that all we needed to put Hitler back in his box was to show him some respect.

As for the Gucci Sheila.  To paraphrase one of her more 'enlightened' remarks ..... friggin useless.

A Leaderless Rabble!

Watched some of Question Time, holding the government to account was nowhere to be seen.

The Pinstriped adorned little man, Red Russel, Back from extended holiday Ronnie Carterton, a well padded Moron wearing a rugby jersey, a little tubby whose eyes seemed to be in danger of disappearing, all conspired to make Chippie look the likely lad I the space like vacuum of leader of HM Opposition.
Damien O'Connor wearing the reddist tie, was that a hint to Parker  or what.

Leadership was totally absent.
I accept the NZLP have every right to make a pigs arse out of how they select their next candidate for death by  a thousand cuts but why are they not required to do it in their own time.
Joe and Josephine Taxpayer are  paying the four Whoresmen of the Apocalypse to take a circus around the country while being paid well above their true worth when they should be in the house representing their "people".

"Her Majesty's Loyal Opposition",  that should be subject to a complaint to the Advertising Standards Authority.

Then at the end of it all Logie asked a couple of  patsys around the melons adopting Hadfields welfare extensions to allow parents easier ways to divert their entitled gummint money to their own selfish ends and let schools  feed their spawn.
Material Girl has been  frock shopping again, total mass of dash but sadly still little effort to actually help the disadvantaged in any  meaningful way.

Ninety minutes of my life I cant get back.

Wednesday, October 22, 2014

Exeedingly Stupid

Some people give sacks full ofhammers a bad name.  Such a person is the Electoral Office official who has been done for influencing a vote by a rest home resident.

The Electoral Commission is investigating the case of a 93-year-old rest-home resident who says a voting official cast a vote for National in her name, but against her wishes. 

Isn't it funny how there is no reporting of any misdemeanors by the officials of the leftist parties?

But when you read on down you find the newspaper is lieing.  The official dd NOT cast a vote against the lady's wishes.

Once challenged, the JP followed correct procedure by spoiling the paper, ticking every box and issuing her mother a new one, which was then marked according to her wishes.

Someone please tell Faifax the election is over and they lost.

Tuesday, October 21, 2014

Whats With The Fish n Chips?

Why not I milked a cow or I shoveled premix or even I had a paper round?

The second recent Labour Orphan  claiming "working in a fish n chip shop" as a mark of relevance to actually having had a 'real job' as a booster in a leadership contest.

Mr c evidently included in his CV working in a fast food outlet in Pleasant Point and now Miss Cover Girl for Orthodontic Correction Monthly is making similar claims elsewhere.

Had either of those two dreamers actually fronted up to a lending institution, borrowed fifty stacks  and taken a rundown fast food opportunity from bankruptcy to a turnover that provided a living, paid the tax, given a sale price to repay the borrowings and leave a deposit on a house after a couple of years hard graft, such inanity might be relevant.
A couple of shifts flipping burger patties or smiling while collecting orders and money for the minimum wage does not an entry on a CV make.

Sheesh I spent hours as a wool handler in woolsheds in my teenage years, I dont claim to be a wool broker. On our first farm where borrowings were eye watering and milking a few cows provided our living expenses, that did not make me a "Dairy farmer"!

Maybe the Paper round is a little discounted these days but for gawds sake, working in fast food, had it been in Maccas or KFC and risen to shift manager then it might actually mean something, but Pleasant Point flipping burgers to provide a feed for rich pricks heading to or from Fox's peak or Mt Dobson?

Monday, October 20, 2014

It Is Not A Freakin Valuation.

It used to be Government Valuation and was arrived at with an inspection at revaluation by registered valuers working for the provider that was called "The Valuation Department" headed by The Valuer General and had a Minister of the Crown in Charge.

Then it Became The Rating value and was set by bureaucrats working for one of many contractors hired by a local body to set the RV made up of Land value, Value of improvements which totaled to become the rateable value.

By now it was as far removed from any semblance of a value of a property as was imaginable with the arbitrary figure arrived at on historical grounds that only merged with reality when a sale occurred and the sale note was lodged as part of the system.
Such info took little note of how motivated seller and buyer were, the degree of ability of the sales person involved and any manipulations of chattel values arranged for tax purposes , estate purposes, or other sometimes nefarious factors.

As a valuation system it has always relied on a property sale, and or appeals to alter  the arbitrary valuation that could be motivated by any of many desires.

As a true value of a property it was as intelligible as melted ice in desert sands.

GV has become a "Rating index" only, used to apportion rates over wide variations of service, cost and access to facilities that may or probably wont have much relevance to what a willing seller and a willing buyer might agree to as a value for transfer of property ownership via the title.

Current 'Rateable Value' has very little relativity to the 'Market Value' of any title although the two figures might get close at times often by chance.

Only in Todays World.

Around 2004 a man raised in the Seventh Day Adventist faith but having departed the church takes a job in antenna work with a contract to work Saturday.

Rolling on to 20011 and dear old 'Mark' returns to the faith of his youth that regards Saturday as the 'Sabbath'.
Now antenna installations have Saturday as the biggest day of the seven workwise for many reasons and Mark's employer made efforts to accommodate the renewed obligations Mark felt to his faith and gave him as much time as he thought reasonable as regards Saturday work.
Eventually the whole  scene became a little strained and the boss gave Mark the sack.

Now an enlightened legal environment around "Human Rights" has resulted in poor old oppressed 'Mark' awarded 40 000 dollars in compensation for the totally unreasonable actions of his employer.

Should that "antenna Installation"  company fold and it is not unreasonable assumption, will that same half arsed law make the poor bugger trying to make it work be forced to pay other workers compensation.

Is there a Small business protection Commission that has laws to protect citizens cut down by such daft rubbish.
Nope it is all about the workers rights.

Two Has To Be Better Than One, Right?

One shallow political science graduate with zero exposure to or knowledge of  how the real world works might make it with good support structures.

Doubling the number of non achievers wont make that exposure deficit better no matter how it is spun.

It is difficult to understand how adding a marginally photogenic extra tit to an udder already carrying serious deficits around electability in the eyes of the wider electorate,

Grant Robertson failed totally when the subject of his rather unique domestic arrangements were exposed on national TV by Sopers squeeze in a cuddly, friendly, staged for publicity, promo,  at a rugby club rooms during the last leadership circus.
In reply to an innocent question that acknowledged Grants partner Alf, in a benign as possible environment, completely blew it out of the water as Alf photo bombed the scene by walking across the camera shot carrying a jug of beer.
The reply to du Plessis Allen's question, "where's Alf tonight?" Robertson calmly lied to camera " oh he couldn't be with us tonight".
Now call me old fashioned but for the person wishing to lead the still second largest party, that for nearly nine years has based almost its entire attack plan around "can John Key be trusted", that gaffe of clear dishonesty is a crevasse in a glacier.

Bringing a modestly photogenic tyro who also has never worked outside the glasshouse to bolster a campaign that is already overloaded with doubt as to suitability on so many fronts, only adds to the  charade as Candidate Robbo attempts to sell his significantly improved physical presence to the converted of the Caucus, Party and the Union Rump in a rather expensive exercise using significant taxpayer cost subsidy.

Sorry two is no better than one, it only adds to the whole.
Of course that whole glossy promo ignores the salient fact that as a candidate for Deputy leader, 'Robbo' only has a single vote in the caucus that will decide if his equally shallow "Running Mate" gets elected.
Looked good on state TV though.

Sunday, October 19, 2014

That Makes One Feel Dam Good.

Barry Cohen was a minister in the Government led by Bob Hawke.

79 years old he has dementia and has moved into a nursing home when he received a phone call,

       " When word got out that I had joined the list of dementia sufferers one of the first calls I had was from an old “friend”.

“A Mr Howard calling,” was the message from the nurse.

“I don’t know a Mr Howard, unless it’s the former prime minister.”

“That’s the one,” said the nurse.

I was deeply moved that a lifelong opponent had taken the trouble to ring to find out how I was and whether he could do anything to help. After a lengthy conversation, I told him, “This is what makes Australia a great country.”"

From Andrew Bolt Blog Herald Sun.

Saturday, October 18, 2014


Back home from doing 'Gods work' for a short window of 36 hours.    Spent 100 of those minutes watching a superb game of Rugby.     The Taranaki/Auckland ITM Cup semi-final match was one for the books.   It had everything ... flair, talent, excitement, skill ... the crowd were treated to spectacle and spectacular Rugby.  With the scores equal after 80 minutes the contest went to extra time when the Naki scored 19 unanswered points. As an 'Hawera' boy I am stoked.

Jim Hickey, weatherman, is going to be insufferable for all you non-Naki types over the next few days.

Question for self ... can I clear the diary and make it to New Plymouth for next weekend's final.

Friday, October 17, 2014

Labour launch new proven Leadership Program - Lablite

Nanaia Mahuta - Her One Big Advantage

The way I see it Nanaia Mahuta has one big advantage not available to the other three contestants in the Labour Leadership race. But this advantage only applies if Tainui get in behind her and support her financially. Tainui has resources (unless Tuku has been buying new undies) that not even David Cunliffe's secret trusts could compete with and way beyond anything that Robertson, Parker or even Little with his Union connections could have access to. There is of course the saying that you cannot buy elections but that may not hold true in this instance.

Thursday, October 16, 2014

When Will The Fog Lift?

As the election heated up Mr c having finally reached his pinnacle, or did he overextend, told the Caucus they could meet in a dunny down the corridor or was it a broom cupboard, as the Taxpayer funded Caucus Room was to become the "war room".

Then following the decamping of CoS Wendy Brandon in February "for health reasons" a few days later Mr c installs Peter Pan aka Matt McCarten as his Chief of Staff, there by placing his choice of Campaign Manager on the Parliamentary payroll.

I erroneously thought that Political Parties were to fund their "election costs" from Party funds and as this country does not have a system of taxpayer funding for campaigns the demarcation was relatively clear, apart from the total rort that TV advertising funding entails.
Apparently not for a cash strapped NZLP who with a tits for hands president and a boofhead rainbow faction  general secretary with minimal abilities for fundraising,  Mr c's moves were Manna, not to be confused with what Hadfield was converting to his now well funded by the Kraut overstayer TTT campaign.
The  costs to be covered by Parliamentary services to enable communications and services  for elected MPs to assist constituents and perform their constitutional duties,  were placed at the disposal of the election campaign high command center in the new guise of "The War Room".
As Baldrick to Mr c's Blackadder, Matty the supremo election strategist comparable only to buffoon Martyn Martin Bradbury in ability, Matt McC  set out on what could only be fairly described as the road to disaster.
Gaffe on gaffe mixed with flipflops that would have made a jandal factory celebrate, what unfolded was possibly the most expensive for Joe and Josephine Taxpayer, electoral disaster since for ever.

Add in the now largely sidelined and only dealing with the legal minutiae, Frazer House bunch who became increasingly irrelevant and in the harsh reality of serious cashflow problems an entirely understandable seat on a dunces stool.

So how much taxpayer dosh was converted to election costs,
Will an incompetent MSM even bother to try and discover,
Is McCarten and his election staff still being funded and for what,
When will "tits for hands" Coatsworth get her DCM.
Will choirboy Barnett ever accept he is as useful as a four gallon tin of benzine for a fire extinguisher,
I did note somewhere the little league Caucus have been 'allowed' back into their dugout but not a dickybird about what was spent, by whom and how much.

Now the Candidates for "Clown School" are not going to be doing what the demented segment of the electorate supported them to do and perform any of the duties of "Her Majesty's Loyal Opposition",
nah they will be crisscrossing the nation on our tab trying to convince the deluded they are the one saviour of the once great NZLP.
Meanwhile the one true Messiah sits to the sidelines plotting his triumphant ride to his rightful place on the  throne when whoever is chosen next, runs out of gas.
Oh for some Hacked emails  or even a few inspired "leaks" to cast light on what is really going on, Sunlight just doesn't seem to cut it.
The long suffering coerced funder can rest in the luxury that it is all clean and above board.

White and Abrasive

Just what Labour needs to scour out decades of ingrained grime and filth.

Wednesday, October 15, 2014

So You Thought The Science Was Settled?


Adolf has always disbelieved the global warming rhetoric.  Mainly because all the temperature adjustments were upward and nowhere could one find any analysis of any benefits to mankind arising from a slight increase in temperatures generally.

At long last it seems some scientists have regressed to actually assessing evidence before jumpg to convenient conclusions.

Here's the money quote:

One paper — published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Science — says plants will absorb 130 billion tonnes more carbon dioxide this century than current models suggest. This amount is equal to about four years worth of global CO2 emissions from fossil fuels. The research says the contribution of increasing CO2 to plant growth has been underestimated by as much as 16 per cent.

And to think these warmist idiots continue to flock to talkfests all over the world to dream up new ways to flog their hoax onto the tax payers of the world.

Tuesday, October 14, 2014

Why Didn't You Have A Go Yer Mug?

In a contest that could have been scripted by writers of Monty Python or the Goon Show, the latest twist has that Princess of Maoridom, well the Waikato mob anyway,  put her name in the raffle to be the next clown on stage.

Accepting that The Dental Nurse might be a little long in the tooth why oh why didn't Damian have a shot at the job.
Catholic, tick
Businessman, tick
White, tick
Heterosexual, tick
Electorally successful well apart from a couple of aberrations, tick
Age mid 50s, tick
Worked out of the beltway, tick
Sports minded, tick
Out spoken, tick
Loyal, tick

Oh hang on they are negatives, sorry Damian but it was your turn.

Tired Old Labour...

.....and illiterate sub-editors.

There I was, thinking Labour had no longer wanted to talk about security and intelligence.

Cop the headline:

'Labour Weary of Terror Law Changes'

Is Obesity The Problem, Yes Or No?

 News reports that Kim Jung-un is recovering in a Poyongyang Hospital with tight security following breaking both ankles.

The first question for me, did he jump or was he pushed?

Neither apparently, the official story is the little megalomaniac has ballooned to over 20 stone or nearly 130 Kg,  since inheriting power by drinking and eating to excess and following an "arduous tour" of military bases and industrial areas strained and then fractured the now under considerable stress joints, under additional strain from his raised "cuban heels" worn to give elevation to his perceived  challenged height.

He had not been seen for over a month and speculation was rife he had some domestics confronting him.

It is not yet clear if the heavy security is for restraint or protection as the latest Kim to rule the benighted country is not yet enjoying the illustrious place in North Korean affairs his forebears basked in, in the ultra controlled political environment.

He has slaughtered some who might be a threat and that can create some believing attack is a better defence.

Not Very.

Stuff Headline states "After beheadings, how dangerous is travel?"

Jeez do the poor buggers have to TRAVEL?

Gives a whole new perspective to "are we there yet" and "how much further"

Never a truer word spoken

As payment for providing them with an MP who doesn't count against its share of the party vote, David Seymour of ACT has been given cash, a sinecure and some flunkies by National.   And, because Seymour is a noob and therefore a sitting duck for the Opposition when it comes to anything related to his sinecure, National has also ensured "Seymour will not be subject to questions in the House. It appears he will not be subject to the Official Information Act also."

As you can imagine, the noob is chuffed:

Seymour said it was an honour to be given the role. 
"It's definitely a very important area for me, for ACT, and I think, for New Zealand."

Well, it's certainly an honour - normally, guys from parties with the level of support enjoyed by Ban 1080 or similar fringe nutcase outfits don't get cash, sinecures and flunkies from the government.  But it's also unsurprising, as it's direct payment for services rendered, viz providing National with an MP who doesn't count towards their party vote share.

Ordinarily, I'd regard this Rimmer-minus-the-H claiming his sinecure was important for New Zealand as the sort of bombastic narcissism you'd expect from the kind of guy who'd accept such a deal in the first place.  However, on reflection, it genuinely is important for New Zealand - examples of corruption in New Zealand's government are always important for New Zealand, and this example of it is no exception.  Although, given the examples of corrupt activity by the Key government just endorsed by the nation's voters, my view on the significance of corrupt activity in government might be a minority one.

Monday, October 13, 2014

Dont Let The Door Hit Your Arse as You Leave.

Mr c has tossed the towel in and given his support to Little Andy.

Little Andy wins and guess who is the Finance main man.

That has the tent full of intrigue looking for the flap.

Not much solved I guess he was down to single figures in the stuff poll yesterday that had someone else leading on 46%


Can Cunliffe do it?

  1. Lose general election.
  2. Lose party leadership battle.
  3. Lose New Lynn in 2017

Logic failure of the day

Stuff reports that Te Ururoa Flavell is angry about institutional racism in the NZ justice system, as evidenced by the proportion of Maori featuring on the wrong side of it. He says:

"Maori are four to five times more likely to be apprehended, prosecuted and convicted than non-Maori counterparts, and in the case of Maori aged between 10 and 13 this is six times more likely. How can we ignore the existence of institutional racism in the justice system in the face of facts like these?"

Here's today's lesson in elementary logic and failures thereof.  Flavell's logic runs as follows:

Premise:  Maori are far more likely than others to be apprehended, prosecuted and convicted.

Therefore: There is institutional racism in the justice system. 

However, there's a premise missing.  Without that missing premise, the conclusion "Therefore, Maori are committing a lot more crime than anyone else" would be as plausible as Flavell's one (more so, if anything). 

In the spirit of assisting the Minister not to make irrational statements, here's how his argument would have to run for it to make sense:

Premise 1:  Maori commit crimes at the same rate as everyone else.

Premise 2:  However, Maori are far more likely than others to be apprehended, prosecuted and convicted.

Therefore: There is institutional racism in the justice system.

That one would be a pretty hard argument to refute, but proving premise 1 might be tricky.  In fact, I'd be willing to bet premise 1 is highly unlikely, due to a particular set of circumstances.  Flavell might like to consider this alternative argument:

Premise 1:  We know that children raised long-term on a benefit are something like 13 times more at risk of a bunch of shit factors like poverty, neglect, abuse and future criminal convictions.

Premise 2:  Maori children are something like twice as likely as Pakeha kids to be raised on a benefit within the year of their birth.

Therefore:  It would be unsurprising if Maori youth are more likely to get criminal convictions than Pakeha youth.

It's an argument that could do with further investigation.  As Minister of Maori Development, Flavell ought to be well placed to do something about it.

It's Only When The Paint is Scratched.

Do the full Due Diligence and stand back.

Every contender for high political office will have readily discernable faults, the sum of which may not disqualify a candidate.

Four or five, who cares, each and everyone has faults that on first impression must cause hesitation at least.

The latest to nominate is  classic damaged goods.
A hair style that even one of my most charitable and apolitical friends described as a fatal disaster flaw.

Add in a very dodgy business background, it is a minor plus he has one but the way it failed and then unfolded followed by his demotion to the dunces stool by H1, best left unsaid.

His way of personal skills management that has him covet a minor celebrity socialist soldiers missus after the poor bastard suffered a serious neurological event was pretty unsavoury.

His stepping up to caretake the leadership through the chaos precipitated by possibly the ultimate in narcissist refusing to accept the inevitable and just disappear and then getting an urge to get into the ring for the main event himself.

If David Parker is the one it is obvious he is indeed the mystery" Someone Else" currently leading the stuff poll very close to the necessary 50% on the first ballot.

No wonder David Shearer is keeping his powder dry, what sane person would want to climb into that snake pit.
Possibly when the collective who must choose, make the logical selection "none of those listed" his time will come.

History records a nation turned, in their most grave and darkest hour, to a man of advanced years and so often rejected he was unthinkable to the establishment, a certain Winston Spencer Churchill and that turned out tolerably well.
Of course not suggesting DS is WSC in any shape or form.

Suddenly a hesitant demeanor and diffident persona has admirable attraction.

Sunday, October 12, 2014

Southland Brought A New Trick to Ranfurly Shield Rugby

Yep - Southland brought their own referee to McLean Park for last nights challenge and it almost paid dividends for them. I was at the game and it became obvious after about twenty minutes that the ref was born and bred and learned his refereeing (such as it was) in places like Tapanui, Riverton or Mataura. I do not know what the final penalty count was but it had to be at least 15 to Southland and maybe 3 to Hawkes Bay - which included the advantage which yielded the final dropped goal for the draw. My son-in-law and I watched from the stand in disbelief through the match as Southland players were allowed to get away with things that Hawkes Bay players were penalised for. Still when the Ranfurly Shield is at stake a draw is a win for the holders and we will take it - Hawkes Bay supporters are good sports in that way when it favours us.


This is a follow-up to my previous post on the state of the Labour Party. Like it or lump it ... in this day and age the Party leader defines the Party.   Get it right and you're on a winner.   Get in wrong and you're forever pushing s**t up hill.    Labour saw that with Goff and Shearer.   Is history about to repeat itself?     Lets look at the contenders .... in no great order.

David Cunliffe ... more popular in the Party than in caucus where he was actively undermined by the ABCs led by Cosgrove.    Nakedly ambitious and arrogant to boot and comes across as such.   Held his own (mostly) against John Key in an under-resourced election campaign but screwed up big time in his election night 'concession' speech and in the days following where he refused to acknowledge his own failings. Not helped by his wife's foray into the media spotlight.   The ABC's haven't gone away and have probably grown stronger.   I suspect his stature in the wider Party has also suffered a blow.   Cunliffe re-elected and there is every chance the Labour Party could split.

Grant Robertson ... the ultimate 'beltway' politician.   Solid performer in the House but struggles to achieve 'cut-through' outside.   Limited real-life experience (public-servant and political apparatchik). Instinct is 'left' and that's a problem for a Party that needs to position in the centre-left.  But above all, and perhaps unfairly, Robertson's overt homosexuality is perhaps a bridge too far even in this day and age and particularly for Labour's diminishing blue-collar constituency.    Outside chance.

Andrew Little ... solid Union credentials in a Party where Unions matter and in a country where they don't.   On the day charisma was handed out Little was off sick.    Not helped by two disastrous campaigns in New Plymouth which saw National increase both their Party and Electorate vote.   Campaigning on reversing some of Labour's key policies.    Puts him at odds with Parker but could work to his advantage.    Has to be in with a chance.

David Parker ...  just declared.   Loyal deputy to Cunliffe until 'he' dumped on him.    Doyen of the policy wonks with charisma to match.    Some policies failed intense scrutiny.   It will be interesting to see him and Little match off.   One term Electorate MP (Otago 2002-2005) and since then has carpetbagged around NZL as a List MP.    Some issues with his personal life.     Probably more suited to the deputy role than leader.   Outside chance.

David Shearer ... can a souffle rise twice?    An inherently decent man not overtly suited to the rough and tumble of parliamentary life and especially Leader of the Opposition.    Not sure he would want to put himself or his family through the washing machine again.    Compromise and interim leader perhaps but who would want that?

Someone Else ... based on the above SE has to be in with a real chance (but he/she has only 48 hours to make up their mind).    None of the main players (Robertson/Little/Parker) are likely to do anything that will excite the electorate.   It is a truism that Oppositions seldom win elections ... Governments, long term Governments especially, loose them.    As it stands right now, all that those three can hope for is is latter (six years out perhaps).    The right 'Someone Else' (Nash/Davis/Hipkins) and it might be a different story.


It's important for the democratic process that there is a functioning and effective Opposition to hold Government to account.     Sadly the Labour Party is neither functioning nor effective and one suspects their leadership race will further exacerbate the divisions within that once formidable Party to the point where they are the 'official' Opposition in name only.

I few years ago I traveled from Hanoi to Ho Chi Minh City in the 'Reunification Express' (at an average speed of 37k).    I shared a sleeper with a North Vietnamese General.   We conversed in 'fractured' French.    One thing he said remains etched in my mind .... "I have fought the French and I no worry; I have fought the Americans and I no worry; I have fought the Chinese and I worry".   

Were I to apply that analogy and look at the state of the 'opposition' one cannot help but wonder if Labour were to split, with the 'moderates' joining with NZ First and the remnants aligning themselves with the Greens, and if Shane Jones could be enticed back from his Pacific 'holiday' to lead what would be a populist centre/left Party then, I suspect, National would indeed have a fight on its hands to gain a fourth term. 

Put simply .... Labour, in its present state, is finished.   If it were a dog (and it is a 'dog') I would ask my mate Gravedodger to shoot it and put it out of its misery.

Will it happen?    I suspect not.    The wish to preserve the labour movement coupled with monumental egos will militate against such a move ... and National will breathe a collective sigh of relief.  

Saturday, October 11, 2014


The news that the search for little Jack Dixon has now been officially abandoned will have been devastating for the family.   Our collective hearts go out to them.   There is hope that in due course the sea will give up what it took ... Jack needs to come home.

Much that same for the Pike River families but that is complicated by the fact that lives cannot be put at serious risk in trying to retrieve the bodies.     Pike River was an unmitigated disaster with many factors in play.    We can understand the very real frustration of the families but that frustration should not and cannot be the driver in any decision to re-enter the mine.

Two tragedies.    30 grieving families.    My/our thoughts are with them  

It Is So Bloody Scary Though.

After years of incidents of random deaths from Ebola in parts of central Africa, the world is watching  the current spread of this disease that has raised alarm to extreme heights.

A book written  in the last decade of the 20th century by Tom Clancy, Executive Order, both added to the fear factor and hinted at the obstacle to wide and fast spread of the viral infection that has quite dramatic symptoms as the end stage.
Ebola starts out as a flue like malady with very low infectious capability after an incubation of up to  three weeks.
The last days of the disease have horrific symptoms of bleeding from the dying body and that is when the maximum infectious stage is reached when any contact with the discharge is almost certain to lead to infection spread.

In Clancy's book converting the spread from fluid contact to an aerosol configuration was a significant thread of the plot to enable its use as a weapon.
That ability could still evolve naturally as the virus mutates.

However we still have an innate protection in its present form but only by strict total observation of serious management systems.

Most developed countries with a regime of safety built into patient contact are well equipped to resist an outbreak, however as with  the Nurse at present in quarantine on the Australian Gold coast, careless wiping of a contaminated protective glove on unprotected skin has the potential to end badly.
During my recent "other life" since retirement. primary medical care has put in place systems to protect its staff from Bird flue, SARS, HIV, Hepatitus and other potential lethal infectious diseases that with Air Travel can explode exponentially at any time into endemic and pandemic outbreaks.
In the chaotic ending of WW1 "Spanish Flue" swept the globe killing people in greater numbers than the Great War had,  even with its move to industrial slaughter.
Troops returning home to all parts of the globe from Europe took that mutated deadly flue virus with them on ships and although some ships were quarantined to prevent the spread such moves only slowed its progress.
The pandemic enveloped  almost the entire world population causing very fit and healthy victims to die in numbers unknown since the Plague.

Ebola in its present form has nothing like the ability to spread that the many mutations of influenza possess.
When a traveller lies to evade basic control systems of course such an act of stupidity can have devastating outcome as with the idiot Duncan who died in a Texas Hospital from Ebola but afaik his infection has not led to any further exposure but it could still happen with the quite long incubation period.

Health volunteers will still wish to go to Sierra Leone and other infected zones and good on them, it is the only humanitarian response that will lead to relief and control.
 Just shutting a gate is not what many will wish to embrace however some will make such calls.
However intensive monitoring of movement and in particular air travel coupled with basic precautions will control the spread with the  desire of many to help and bring relief but dishonest responses to basic protocols can lead to an unravelling that will only add to the fear factor.

More than 8 times as many  people died on US roads last year than have died in this very serious Ebola event so far.
Current annual world malaria related deaths run at 150 times the 4000 deaths counted so far in the current Ebola crisis, 627 000 dead in 2012.

As my late Dad said more than once in response to deaths of farm animals "where there are live ones there will be dead ones".

Just as the first casualty of war is truth, with an event such as this the first big casualty numbers will be from  fear, much of it irrational.

Friday, October 10, 2014

Hypocrisy Vs Reality

They crow about their oh so wonderful inclusiveness,

They preach about sainthood.

They castigate the government for their avoidance of the one true way.

They deplore the dearth of females on the front bench and cabinet rankings.

They have the fourth leadership spill in the six years since the vanquishing of one female ever to lead them who claimed marriage as part of her persona and evaded any questioning of her orientation.

They make so much of being inclusive and broad church.

Yet as they embark on that next attempt to select a leader to restore their electoral fortunes, they are for the fourth time proceeding with no sign  of a  female candidate. Hell they only included King as deputy interim leader for her "safe hands".

After all the bs and preaching the only names mentioned are Mahuta,who, Adern,what, and Moroney,why.

Maybe forget quotas, manbans, and inclusive crap, how about go out into the community and seekout successful women who have proved they can offer something from within them selves, forged in the real world. sheesh two or three would make one hell of an impact.
Then again would such a person put up with the absolute garbage that the NZLP c2014 revels in as a false image.
Recall what the Bible said about false idols and worship.