Monday, December 11, 2017

Ho Ho Ho








Conditioning Your Base For A Loss

Adolf is still chuckling after reading this analysis for the upcoming Alabama Senate election.  You'd almost think they know they are going to lose!

"Democrats head into Tuesday’s Senate election in Alabama confident that they'll come out on top no matter who wins........

.........If Roy Moore wins, they'll spend the next year yoking every Republican they can to the accused child predator and a president who welcomed him into the GOP fold. They'll be quick to remind everyone of all the other comments Moore has made against Muslims and gays and in favor of Vladimir Putin’s view of America as evil, as well as his rosy view of slave-era America."


I sincerely hope they do exactly that.    The louder they shout, the more people will vote for President Trump.

hattip Poliitico

Sunday, December 10, 2017

COLMAR BRUNTON POLL RESULT

I am a tad surprised at the result of the first post election One News Colmar Brunton Poll.    I would have expected Labour to have enjoyed a 'honeymoon' bounce and overtaken National as the most preferred Party.    Not so .....

National 46% +1.6% from the election)
Labour 39% (+2.1%)
Greens 7% (+0.7%)
Winston First 5% (-2.2%)

What is not surprising is that on this result Winston First is margin-of-error stuff from being out of Parliament.  

Lotsa water etc 
 

Saturday, December 9, 2017

That Coalition Agreement

Yes, thaaaaaat one.  The agreement between losers.

Much has been made of the secrecy surrounding this document, with the parties actually defying the Ombudsman after he had pointed out their breaches of the Official Information Act.

The consensus among the chatterers who call themselves journalists is that the reason for secrecy is that the agreement states Winston Peters will become PM in the event Adern steps down, for whatever reason. 

This is supposed to be a big deal?   Embarrassing for all the parties?  Pull the other leg, journos.  You are insulting the Hon Winston Peters who is a far better negotiator then that.

Here's the real reason for the secrecy.  The document will be seen to specify not only that Peters will succeed Adern as PM but it will set out the date by which such an event will take place.

I'll wager a dozen bottles of good Coonawarra Cabernet on it.




FINALLY A GLIMMER OF COMMON SENSE

After too many years of pointless denials from Police HQ that Cliff and his Highwaymen  parked at the bottom of a hill on a straight road and/or covert placement of a speed camera at the end of a similar passing lane, the Waikato head honcho of traffic police has publicly abandoned  “quota driven ticketing”.

An outbreak of an attempt to regain some respect or suicide mission will be revealed in time but for now applause for good sensible policing.

On Labour Monday travelling south in high winds on Hwy one south of Hurunui pub where I had pulled over to allow a small buildup of following traffic to clear I was pulled over by a moron “gadget man” for holding up traffic at seventy five Kph, one Km short of a long uphill passing lane and not far short of the 80 kph limit in the Weka Pass instituted since the emergence of
SH 7 as the answer to SH 1 closures around Kaikoura.
A policing manoeuvre to gain a stupid KPI evidential record in his log book, no more no less.

So many involved around road crash incidents that fell quite spectacularly from vast advances in vehicle design and construction and now increasing from equally increases in vehicle numbers and movements, saw a mirage of effectiveness from moronic revenue collection systems.

Now  a plod with an apparent  surplus of brain cells has had a road to Damascus moment and put his head up above the ramparts, it will be interesting watching this space.

Political poll

The Veteran has another poll for our readers:


Do you think President Trump will stand for a second term?

If he stands do you think he will win?

Friday, December 8, 2017

Democrats Lose Alabama......

....... with this adert.



“Part of the reason the Democratic Party has been marginalized as a party that only exists on the coasts and in urban areas is whitemannery like this “The Democratic Party is trash. It is the reason Hillary Clinton lost. It is the reason Donald Trump is president.”

Friday's Fulminations

There is mild moderation.  Normal rules of blogger etiquette and courtesy to blog hosts will apply.with serious transgressors being thrown out.

Unfortunately our system does not allow your comments to show up in the blog post itself.  Just in the comments section.

Visitors might consider the wisdom of using moderate language.

Regards

Adolf'

Thursday, December 7, 2017

ON THE BASIN RESERVE

The Basin Reserve in Wellington is by any measure an iconic cricket ground steeped in history.

So could someone please explain to me how/why the crowd facilities remain anchored in a 1950's time warp and just why the 'yellow ticketed' old grandstand remains standing and why also that the NZ Cricket Museum, located in the bowls of the old grandstand,  remains open to the public while the grandstand proper remains off limits to the public.

It would be a shame if the Basin were to lose its status as a test cricket venue but unless 'someone' gets off their arse one can see that happening.    Right now the Basin Reserve is an embarrassment that Wellington should be ashamed of.  


Wednesday, December 6, 2017

WINNERS AND LOSERS

Among the winners in the announcement by the coalition government of 'free' tertiary education for first year students will be those attempting a Diploma in Tournament Golf from IGQ Golf College in Christchurch; a Diploma in Naturopathy and Herbal Medicine from the NZ Institute of Chinese Medicine in Auckland and a Diploma in Commercial Skydiving from Skydive Auckland.

And the losers ... the long suffering NZ taxpayer who will pick up the tab.

One might have expected a tad of academic rigor to be applied in determining the courses of study to benefit from the government's largess but perhaps not ... you will recall the last Labour led administration sanctioned taxpayer funding funding for 'homeopathy for pets' courses.       

Government on a spending spree with 'your' money.    Get used to it folks.


Tuesday, December 5, 2017

YOU COULDN'T MAKE THIS SHIT UP

A just released ministerial briefing paper has made it very clear that the Chief Executive of the Pike River Recovery Agency would be held responsible for anything that went wrong during the recovery operation.    This despite the announcement by Minister Little that the Chief Executive would answer to him and that he (Little) would have the final say.    So, Little gives the order and the CEO takes the can.

Talk about leading from the rear.     Others less charitable then I might even label it craven cowardice.     Have to ask whether this will have people lining up for the CEO job ... and we won't even mention Winston Peters' promise to lead the recovery operation in person.    Anything for a vote perhaps.   Figures.


All That Winning Must Be Tough

This one is just for Milt and David.

It must warm the cockles of your hearts to see President Trump doing so much winning.

First, the tax reforms passed in the House and Senate, to be blended and sent to the White House for signing.  Your scurvy mates had the temerity to squeal that the bill was 479 pages and they didn't have time to read it before the vote.  They were not the least bit agitated about passing Obama's 2,000+ page Affordable Care Act before anyone could read it.

Hard on the heels of tax reform comes today's SCOTUS decision to uphold the president's ban on immigrants from seven countries.  The decision was decisive. 7 to 2.

Sooner or later something will be done to rid the courts of Democrat operatives in black robes.

ON THE POLITICAL WEAK THAT WAS

Coalition government members would have wended their way home last week muttering TGIF.    Welcome to reality people.   There will be many more TGIFs to come.   Get used to it.   Lets look back ....

For the Greens ... we can debate the Golly Gosh affair till the cows come home and all we will end in doing is agreeing to disagree.   It was not a hanging offense but, taken in conjunction with the Me Tu shambles and the Greens are exposed at their sanctimonious worst.    I can understand completely the amount of push-back this has generated from 'defenders of the faith'.    Explaining is losing and explaining from inside a hole getting deeper is never easy.

For Winston First ... Peters offhand dismissal of the advice tendered by his own ministry (MFAT) that the agreement between Labour and NZF to charge exporters of water a royalty was in breech of TPPA2 and several other trade agreements and his comment that 'he would talk to another lawyer because he did not trust this view' sez much about Peters.     I guess Peters knows any number of 'Philadelphia lawyers' who will tell him what he wants to hear but the latest comment from David Parker, Trade Minister, that 'he was well aware that a straight export tax was prohibited by all our trade agreements' sez it all.    I'll take Parker over Peters any day and that begs the question as to why 'they' ever signed up to it ... and let's not even mention that on the numbers touted by Labour the total amount generated by such a tax would be more than offset by the cost of administration.

For Labour ... Many commentators have warned that the proposal by Labour to charge for water would let the genie out of the bottle and it has ... never mind the proposal has been 'watered' down (for the time being) to exclude water used for irrigation.   Willie Te Aho, Chair of the Iwi Leaders Forum has made it clear that they will go back to the Courts unless, by Waitangi Day 2018, there is progress on their claim that it is the right of Iwi to own/manage fresh water.  The reality is that 'they' probably have a case given the precedent established in respect of the broadcast (airwaves) spectrum. No government could accept that and Labour would have to legislate against it.   Last time that happened and it spawned the Maori Party.

What goes around comes around and this is going to pit Maori against Pakeha and Labour member against Labour member ... assuming of course Labour's Maori caucus has any spine at all.

And then there is the just released business confidence survey.   From +18% in August to -39%  at the end of November.   These arn't just numbers.   They translate into employers likely to put on hold the hiring of new staff especially against the backdrop of the government determined to do away with the three month trial period.      That's not a recipe for reducing unemployment.

And then going forward it's NZF vs the Greens with Labour playing piggy in the middle ... Shane Jones wants work for the dole for 'real wages' (whatever that means and acknowledging the 'policy' has still to be developed) and ignoring the fact that currently recipients of the dole are required to be actively looking for work while the Greens, in turn, are firmly against any form of coercion for beneficiaries evidenced by their determination to remove the requirement of mothers seeking income support to name the father of their children thus obviating the need for the father to pay child support.  Work for the dole vs no obligation child support.    Train wreck well and truly in train.

TGIF!!!!! for them its surely going to be TGIX ... go figure.    

Monday, December 4, 2017

Sunday, December 3, 2017

Ho Ho Ho

Friday, December 1, 2017

Karma - South Australian Style

Adolf's ribs are aching.

After the state's disastrous power outages last year caused by over reliance on subsidized 'renewable energy,'  the lunatic Premier promised to fix the problem by installing a fifty million dollar battery facility, courtesy of one Melon Musk, the world's best extractor of gummint dollars.

The Tesla battery system in Jamestown was turned on today, as wild storms felled power lines.

With great fanfare, today the great battery was turned on.  Today, storms struck the area and power is now cut to a large area surrounding the complex.

"Wild weather in South Australia has brought down power lines and triggered blackouts in the communities around the state’s Tesla battery on the day it was switched on.Data from SA Power Networks has revealed 208 homes in areas around the battery will be without power until as late as 11pm tonight after wild weather and more than 250,000 lightning strikes overnight felled power lines and cut supply."
Just imagine how much better off the long suffering tax payers of South Australia might have been if that $50mil had been spent strengthening the transmission lines.  A state election looms and the Libs could not have written a better script.

Adolf awaits the inevitable spin from the Premiere's PR machine which has more power apparently than all the batteries in South Australia.

Signs are going up on all roads into South Australia.

"Welcome to Venezuela."

Friday's Fulminations

There is mild moderation.  Normal rules of blogger etiquette and courtesy to blog hosts will apply.with serious transgressors being thrown out.

Unfortunately our system does not allow your comments to show up in the blog post itself.  Just in the comments section.

Visitors might consider the wisdom of using moderate language.

Regards

Adolf'

Thursday, November 30, 2017

ON JAMES SHAW

James Shaw, leader of the Greens, has some explaining to do about his involvement in the deception regarding Ghahraman's c.v.  This is an extract from a speech he gave to the NZ Institute of International Affairs in the Grand Hall at Parliament on 30 May 2017:
..... "Members of this audience may be interested to know that one of those candidates, Golriz Ghahraman, is, at number ten on the list, almost certain to become the first Member of Parliament who started her life in New Zealand as a refugee.
Having fled Iran in 1990 as a child, Golriz is now a human rights lawyer who worked as a prosecutor at the United Nations tribunals for Rwanda and the former Yugoslavia ......"
That is a direct quote from Shaw’s speech to the NZIIA. So there are two alternatives in play here.
Either the Green Party didn't do due diligence on Ms Ghahraman, and simply took it for granted that her claims were accurate, or they made a conscious decision to present a sanitised version of her CV in the run-up to the election.

Shaw must address this issue without delay, instead of hiding behind his Shield of Sanctimony, accusing others of a “political hit-job”. It is clear from the quote above that he and his party, whether knowingly or not, have been part of the deception.

Hat tip to Keeping Stock

Wednesday, November 29, 2017

A Picture Tells A Thousand Words

This is the one that will do her in.





Golriz and Gorilla

NORTH KOREAN MISSLE LAUNCH

The news that North Korea has launched another ICBM into the Sea of Japan where it landed inside the Japanese EEZ is troubling indeed.    It will be seen by China, the United States, Japan and South Korea as another indication of the rogue states refusal to curtail its nuclear missile programme.

War can only ever be the final option.   It has not reached that stage yet but the nuclear clock is ticking towards twelve.    There are extensive sanctions in place although you an bet your bottom dollar that the DPRK is heavily engaged in finding ways to circumvent them in much the same way as South Africa and Rhodesia did in the 1970s.

There is one further option which is no doubt being explored ... the introduction of a cordon sanitaire against North Korean ports and preventing ship entry/exit to those ports much like President Kennedy's blockade of Cuba in 1962 at the time of the Cuban missile crisis.

There are only five ports of any significance in Korea; two on the west coast and five on the north coast.    The countries largest port is Nampo on the west coast along with four medium sized ports; Haeju on the west coast and Wonsan, Hungnam and Chongjin on the east coast.    

It would be relatively easy to disable any ship attempting breakout/breakthrough and provided it was done in international waters and against a backdrop of warnings there is not really too much difference between that and the sanctions regime already in place.    One thing for sure ... the United States is not going to sit back and do nothing in response to Kim Jong-un's latest provocation.


Tuesday, November 28, 2017

Defending the indefensible

A phrase that came up in the context of Golriz Ghahraman, a human rights lawyer who did a human rights lawyer's job and made sure that the human rights of people accused of war crimes were protected.  That apparently causes a great deal of outrage among people who don't know what human rights are.

Apparently, the failure to explicitly state what role you played in each of your trials when you put together a few paragraphs about your career as a lawyer is a shameful attempt to conceal the truth, even if you've gone into those roles in some depth in interviews, and SOMETHING MUST BE DONE.

Meh.  When I think of politicians guilty of defending the indefensible, two in particular come to mind, both from the last National government (and one still a National MP).  Todd Barclay and Chris Bishop both worked as lobbyists for tobacco companies, which have killed more people than your average Hague accused could dream of.  These two were not human rights advocates keen to make sure that even tobacco companies are treated properly, but men who defended the indefensible because there was good money in it. I'm sure that if Slater and Farrar are concerned to make sure the public is fully informed about dubious activities by their politicians, there's fertile ground there for investigation.  All that investigating Golriz Ghahraman is going to turn up is the stench of angry White men exercising their misogyny. 

In Praise of South Africa.......

.......well, South African smoked cod, in fact.

One of my earliest memories is being served up this stuff by my mother on the farm in the early fifties.  Then it came in a tin.   Gorgeous salty flakes of fish with a unique flavour of its own.

Image result for smoked cod


Today one buys fillets of SA smoked cod from the supermarket for $10/kg when they are on special.
Adolf buys a whole heap, still frozen, when they are on special as the usual price is $15/kg.  (Here, snapper fillets are fetching $48/kg!)

Just had one for lunch - this batch were quite small - and here's how you do a simple, cheap but great feed.

Allow fillet to thaw and cut in two.  Season top side with salt and black pepper.  Brown top side in hot pan with oil.  After a minute flip fillets and add half an inch of white wine.  Turn down heat and poach until done.  Five minutes max. 

Serve on a slice of dry multigrain toast.

Yum yum yum.   And lunch cost about three bucks.  Great tucker.

GOLRIZ GHAHRAMAN

The cant and hubris surrounding new Green MP Golriz Ghahraman and her claims about her work helping to bring to justice those charged with crimes in the Ruandan genocide when the reality is that she was helping to defend Joseph Nzirorera, National-Secretary of the Mouvement républicain national pour la démocratie et le développement (MRND) and also President of the Ruandan  Assemblée nationale in the Interim Government of 8 April 1994, against charges of genocide, complicity in genocide, complicity to commit genocide, direct and public incitement to genocide, rape and exterminations, murder and causing violence to health #1, have been well canvassed in a number of blogs including Kiwiblog, Whaleoil and Homepaddock.  

With her credibility shot a number of commentators have wondered if she can remain a Green MP.

The answer is of course YES.   From a Green's perspective this is fake news of the Donald Trump variety.   Dirty politics from the 'right' ... ignoring the fact that well known 'leftie' Phil Quin is one of her main accusers.    She will stay ... credibility doesn't figure big in the Green's lexicon.

#1  Source is 'The Hague Justice Portal'.



Sunday, November 26, 2017

For All The trolls

Adolf's socialist detractors have long speculated on Adolf's physical appearance.  So here for them all is a full frontal.


IMG_0853.JPG

In case you are wondering, those legs are 71 years old and walk 71 hundred metres every morning in 71 minutes.

None of the trolls would be able to keep up

Ho Ho Ho

Saturday, November 25, 2017

Just For David And His Bogus Master of Divinity

It appears the voters of Alabama may be much smarter than the US media and David's oleaginous mates.

Alabama's special U.S. Senate election is less than one month away and a new poll shows Republican nominee Roy Moore holding a solid lead over his Democratic opponent Doug Jones.
In a poll conducted by Sky Research on Tuesday Nov. 21 among registered Alabama voters, the results show Moore with 46.7 percent support to Jones' 39.6 percent. 13.7 percent of voters polled remain undecided. With a margin of error of 3.1 percent, Moore maintains significant lead over Jones, but the undecided voters could swing the election either way.
When asked "Do you consider your political views to be more in line with the Republican or Democrat party?," 62.3 percent of 1,059 respondents identified as Republican, while 37.7 percent Democrat.

MEMORANDUM TO: Major Donors and SuperPAC DirectorsFROM: Rick Shaftan, Atlantic Media and Research @shaftanRE: Survey, Alabama 11/18-21DATE: 11/22/17 Atlantic Media and Research completed 623 surveys of Alabamavoters who had participated in both the 2014 and 2016 general elections and said their chances of voting in the December 12th special election for U.S. Senate were "definite" or "very likely."
The theoretical margin of error is +/- 3.9 percent in 95 percent of cases at a 50 percent response level. All calls were made by live operators to both landlines and cellphones from our facilities in Rodanthe, North Carolina.43 percent of respondents were reached on cellphones and 27 percent are identified on the voter file as being African-American. The project was completed at the request of several major SuperPAC donors.
SUMMARY Republican Roy Moore holds a 43-40 lead over Democrat Doug Jones under a "worst case" weighting scenario where younger voters turn out at a level equal to that in the 2014 general election. Moore led 43-37 in the raw data. Both candidates have high negatives. Roy Moore has a favorable rating of 31 percent and an unfavorable rating of 39 percent. But Jones is also a net negative, with just 32 percent viewing him favorably and 35 percent unfavorably. These numbers are a bigger problem for Jones than Moore, however. While 88 percent of Jones unfavorables are voting for Moore, Jones is only able to win 75 percent of Moore unfavorables, while Moore still holds 8 percent of their votes.





ON BLOGS AND MODERATION

It is somewhat amusing (or sad) that the principal blogs on the left and particularly 'No Right Turn' and 'The Daily Blog' are heavy handed with their moderation and are not adverse to banning contributors who argue the toss with their 'party' line.

Can't speak for Whaleoil but certainly Kiwiblog and this blog are much more forgiving than NRT, the DB and others.   For myself and I enjoy the debate while accepting as a given that some respondents will hold very strong and different views to my own.   The only time I would consider banning a  commentator would be if he/she called my integrity into question. 

Why is it that many blogs on the 'right' are more tolerant of dissent than those on the 'left' ... interesting question. 

FINALLY SOME DIVERGENCE FROM THE MEME



The Veteran's  publishing of the enormous stupidity in how deficit for some children for what ever reason is not helped by government intervention as a substitute for good parenting.

Is there an emerging recognition of how welfare and its destructive assault on personal responsibility eventually becomes revealed as counterproductive.

A recent manifestation of the unavoidable meltdown of socialism that is almost always declared by its supporters to have failed because another nation interfered or the application was insufficiently thoroughly applied is revealed in the appalling disaster that is Venezuela c 2017.
A very avoidable situation that has manifested in a nation with untold riches that include a significant share of world oil reserves that has basic needs for its population either in very short supply or simply unobtainable in what we might regard as "normal" commercial activity.

It will be fascinating to watch Mugabe's heir continue the destruction of the bit of Africa that was once described as the continent's "bread basket" only to have turned it into a just another of the resource rich continents "Basket cases".
After forty years of "liberation" there must become a time when colonialism  is no longer to blame.

One of the few rewards for a people who have endured years of a seemingly endless parade of neglected children suffering needs that too often include "wants" over said needs have gained since the appointment of the first losers to lead our government by a person who had the ability to manipulate his widely divergent seven percent vote share, has come with a holding back by the "Media Party" in its fulsome support of socialism goals of the three headed hydra in a daily diet of pimping the poor.

The world is in a phase of prosperity never before seen as even nations with serious impediments to prosperity having recourse to opportunities for advancements for all and the statistical evidence is convincing.
Until that is megalomania, power seekers and inept politicians try to reinvent the wheel  that Markets have proved for centuries  to be able to solve then my Comment of the day purloined from a Whale Oil commenter on General Debate comes into play;
A government big enough to to give you everything you want is also big enough to take away from you everything you have....

The outcomes from LBJ's efforts so long ago appear to bear out some of the facts involved.

Friday, November 24, 2017

THE PARLIAMENTARY PRAYER

It is reported over at Kiwiblog that Mr Speaker has had second thoughts on 'his' new Parliamentary Prayer.   

It appears the Queen is now back in while Jesus remains out.

I guess I can live with that given that the prayer still acknowledges 'God'.

But Mallard should have consulted first instead of going it alone.   The backtrack just makes him look a bit of a plonker.

ON REDUCING POVERTY

Peter Cresswell has posted a thoughtful piece on his 'Not PC' blog titled 'What does Jacinda know that Lyndon Johnson didn't?'.   The underlying message is that welfarism is not the answer to poverty.

The article is reproduced below (with the kind permission of Peter).
 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------

This year commemorates the 50th anniversary on US president Lyndon Johnson's famous War on Poverty.

The stated goal of the War on Poverty, as enunciated by Lyndon Johnson on January 8, 1964, was, “…not only to relieve the symptom of poverty, but to cure it and, above all, to prevent it.” Measured against this objective, the War on Poverty has not just been a failure, it has been a catastrophe. It was supposed to help America’s poor become self-sufficient, and it has made them dependent and dysfunctional.
But they spent US$21.5 trillion “fighting poverty” over the past 50 years. All that moolah must have made some difference, you say?  Well, no, not really:
Shortly after the War on Poverty got rolling (1967), about 27% of Americans lived in poverty. In 2012, the last year for which data is available, the number was about 29%.
But hasn't it just become harder to keep out of poverty over that time, you ask? Well, no, just the opposite:
Between 1967 and 2012, U.S. real GDP (RGDP) per capita (in 4Q2013 dollars) increased by 127.3%, from $23,706 to $52,809. In other words, to stay out of poverty in 1967, the two adults in a typical family of four had to capture 26.9% of their family’s proportionate share of RGDP (i.e., average RGDP per capita, times four). To accomplish the same thing in 2012, they only had to pull in 12.1% of their family’s share of RGDP. And yet, fewer people were able to manage this in 2012 than in 1967.
Sooooo, what's going on here then? The answer: incentives. Incentives matter.
What turned the War on Poverty into a social and human catastrophe was that the enhanced welfare state created a perverse system of incentives, and people adapted to their new environment...
The adaptation of the working-age poor to the War on Poverty’s expanded welfare state was immediately evident in the growth of various social pathologies, especially unwed childbearing. The adaptation of the middle class to the new system took longer to manifest, but it was no less significant. Even people with incomes far above the thresholds for welfare state programs were forced to adapt to the welfare state.
And those adaptations invariably left everyone worse off for the experience.

And all those same incentives and adaptations exist here in New Zealand.

And all for the very same reasons.

As PJ O'Rourke once put it so pithily (and I've updated his numbers so you don't have to) the War on Poverty was instead an exercise in How To Endow Privation:
That US$21.5 trillion is enough to give every poor person in America $662,000 to start his own war on poverty. And the spending of this truly vast amount of money — an amount equal to the nation's gross national product ... — has left everybody just sitting around slack jawed and dumbstruck, staring into the maw of that most extraordinary paradox: You can't get rid of poverty by giving people money.
Lyndon Baines Johnson's self-proclaimed War on Poverty was not a failure. It was a catastrophe.

So what does Jacinda know -- who as Minister for Poverty is going to fix this -- what does Jacinda from Morrinsville know that Lyndon Johnson didn't?

Or are her hopes and dreams also worth very much less than a pitcher of warm spit.

.